**Stable National Weather Service forecasts for clear skies and persistent southerly flow point to an overnight low near 80°F in Dallas on September 14, underpinning the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 80–83°F ranges.** Model consensus from GFS and local guidance shows minimal cloud cover and dewpoints in the upper 60s to low 70s, limiting radiational cooling and keeping minimum temperatures in the upper 70s to low 80s despite the calendar date. This setup aligns with the ongoing late-summer heat pattern, where average historical lows for mid-September sit near 71°F but current conditions remain several degrees warmer. Minor variations in wind speed or urban heat effects create the narrow spread among leading outcomes, while the lower-probability 90°F+ and sub-75°F buckets reflect low likelihood of significant forecast shifts before resolution. Traders will watch the next NWS update and any late-model runs for adjustments to the exact minimum.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Далласе 14 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Далласе 14 сентября?
80–81°F 40%
82-83°F 40%
71°F или ниже 38%
90°F или выше 37%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
14 сент. 2026 г.
71°F или ниже
38%
72-73°F
16%
74-75°F
33%
76–77°F
33%
78-79°F
26%
80–81°F
39%
82-83°F
34%
84-85°F
33%
86-87°F
17%
88-89°F
16%
90°F или выше
37%
80–81°F 40%
82-83°F 40%
71°F или ниже 38%
90°F или выше 37%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
14 сент. 2026 г.
71°F или ниже
$0 Объем
38%
72-73°F
$0 Объем
16%
74-75°F
$0 Объем
33%
76–77°F
$0 Объем
33%
78-79°F
$16 Объем
26%
80–81°F
$5 Объем
39%
82-83°F
$5 Объем
34%
84-85°F
$0 Объем
33%
86-87°F
$0 Объем
17%
88-89°F
$0 Объем
16%
90°F или выше
$0 Объем
37%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Stable National Weather Service forecasts for clear skies and persistent southerly flow point to an overnight low near 80°F in Dallas on September 14, underpinning the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 80–83°F ranges.**
Model consensus from GFS and local guidance shows minimal cloud cover and dewpoints in the upper 60s to low 70s, limiting radiational cooling and keeping minimum temperatures in the upper 70s to low 80s despite the calendar date. This setup aligns with the ongoing late-summer heat pattern, where average historical lows for mid-September sit near 71°F but current conditions remain several degrees warmer. Minor variations in wind speed or urban heat effects create the narrow spread among leading outcomes, while the lower-probability 90°F+ and sub-75°F buckets reflect low likelihood of significant forecast shifts before resolution. Traders will watch the next NWS update and any late-model runs for adjustments to the exact minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 12, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Объем
$26Дата окончания
14 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 12, 2026, 3:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Stable National Weather Service forecasts for clear skies and persistent southerly flow point to an overnight low near 80°F in Dallas on September 14, underpinning the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 80–83°F ranges.**
Model consensus from GFS and local guidance shows minimal cloud cover and dewpoints in the upper 60s to low 70s, limiting radiational cooling and keeping minimum temperatures in the upper 70s to low 80s despite the calendar date. This setup aligns with the ongoing late-summer heat pattern, where average historical lows for mid-September sit near 71°F but current conditions remain several degrees warmer. Minor variations in wind speed or urban heat effects create the narrow spread among leading outcomes, while the lower-probability 90°F+ and sub-75°F buckets reflect low likelihood of significant forecast shifts before resolution. Traders will watch the next NWS update and any late-model runs for adjustments to the exact minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$26Дата окончания
14 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 12, 2026, 3:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Stable National Weather Service forecasts for clear skies and persistent southerly flow point to an overnight low near 80°F in Dallas on September 14, underpinning the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 80–83°F ranges.** Model consensus from GFS and local guidance shows minimal cloud cover and dewpoints in the upper 60s to low 70s, limiting radiational cooling and keeping minimum temperatures in the upper 70s to low 80s despite the calendar date. This setup aligns with the ongoing late-summer heat pattern, where average historical lows for mid-September sit near 71°F but current conditions remain several degrees warmer. Minor variations in wind speed or urban heat effects create the narrow spread among leading outcomes, while the lower-probability 90°F+ and sub-75°F buckets reflect low likelihood of significant forecast shifts before resolution. Traders will watch the next NWS update and any late-model runs for adjustments to the exact minimum.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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