Recent forecast consensus from global models such as GFS points to a daytime maximum near 30°C in Beijing under clear skies, light northerly winds, and low humidity, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 30°C at 56% implied probability. Dry air and stable high pressure favor moderate solar heating without significant cloud cover or moisture to cap or enhance temperatures, aligning with climatological September norms around 28–30°C. Minor model variations keep 31°C at 33.5% as a plausible upside outcome if afternoon readings edge higher, while lower probabilities for 29°C or below reflect limited cooling potential from the current setup. Official observations through the afternoon will determine final resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Пекине 13 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Пекине 13 сентября?
30°C 55%
31°C 36%
29°C 9%
32°C 3%
$41,385 Объем
$41,385 Объем
13 сент. 2026 г.
24°C или ниже
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
9%
30°C
55%
31°C
36%
32°C
3%
33°C
1%
34°C или выше
<1%
30°C 55%
31°C 36%
29°C 9%
32°C 3%
$41,385 Объем
$41,385 Объем
13 сент. 2026 г.
24°C или ниже
$73 Объем
<1%
25°C
$339 Объем
<1%
26°C
$661 Объем
<1%
27°C
$1,080 Объем
<1%
28°C
$8,303 Объем
<1%
29°C
$7,456 Объем
9%
30°C
$4,340 Объем
55%
31°C
$10,982 Объем
36%
32°C
$5,065 Объем
3%
33°C
$2,597 Объем
1%
34°C или выше
$761 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from global models such as GFS points to a daytime maximum near 30°C in Beijing under clear skies, light northerly winds, and low humidity, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 30°C at 56% implied probability. Dry air and stable high pressure favor moderate solar heating without significant cloud cover or moisture to cap or enhance temperatures, aligning with climatological September norms around 28–30°C. Minor model variations keep 31°C at 33.5% as a plausible upside outcome if afternoon readings edge higher, while lower probabilities for 29°C or below reflect limited cooling potential from the current setup. Official observations through the afternoon will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 11, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Объем
$41,385Дата окончания
13 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 11, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from global models such as GFS points to a daytime maximum near 30°C in Beijing under clear skies, light northerly winds, and low humidity, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 30°C at 56% implied probability. Dry air and stable high pressure favor moderate solar heating without significant cloud cover or moisture to cap or enhance temperatures, aligning with climatological September norms around 28–30°C. Minor model variations keep 31°C at 33.5% as a plausible upside outcome if afternoon readings edge higher, while lower probabilities for 29°C or below reflect limited cooling potential from the current setup. Official observations through the afternoon will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$41,385Дата окончания
13 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 11, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from global models such as GFS points to a daytime maximum near 30°C in Beijing under clear skies, light northerly winds, and low humidity, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 30°C at 56% implied probability. Dry air and stable high pressure favor moderate solar heating without significant cloud cover or moisture to cap or enhance temperatures, aligning with climatological September norms around 28–30°C. Minor model variations keep 31°C at 33.5% as a plausible upside outcome if afternoon readings edge higher, while lower probabilities for 29°C or below reflect limited cooling potential from the current setup. Official observations through the afternoon will determine final resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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