Northeast monsoon flow and a distant low-pressure system over the South China Sea are the main drivers keeping trader consensus centered on 28–30 °C for Hong Kong’s September 13 maximum. Official guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory and ensemble model runs indicate east to northeast winds of 4–5, with gusts higher offshore, promoting cloud cover, scattered showers, and reduced solar heating that caps daytime peaks near or slightly below the seasonal 31 °C climatological average. Recent model updates show minor spread in timing and intensity of showers, which directly affects whether the mercury reaches 30 °C or stays at 28–29 °C; afternoon observations and the next HKO bulletin will be the key resolution inputs.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Гонконге 13 сентября?
29°C 35%
30°C 28%
28°C 20%
31°C 12%
$10,479 Объем
$10,479 Объем
25°C или ниже
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
7%
28°C
20%
29°C
35%
30°C
28%
31°C
12%
32°C
4%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C или выше
<1%
29°C 35%
30°C 28%
28°C 20%
31°C 12%
$10,479 Объем
$10,479 Объем
25°C или ниже
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
7%
28°C
20%
29°C
35%
30°C
28%
31°C
12%
32°C
4%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Northeast monsoon flow and a distant low-pressure system over the South China Sea are the main drivers keeping trader consensus centered on 28–30 °C for Hong Kong’s September 13 maximum. Official guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory and ensemble model runs indicate east to northeast winds of 4–5, with gusts higher offshore, promoting cloud cover, scattered showers, and reduced solar heating that caps daytime peaks near or slightly below the seasonal 31 °C climatological average. Recent model updates show minor spread in timing and intensity of showers, which directly affects whether the mercury reaches 30 °C or stays at 28–29 °C; afternoon observations and the next HKO bulletin will be the key resolution inputs.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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