Current numerical weather models show a wide spread in projected overnight minima for Jinan on September 14, producing closely matched market-implied odds of 41.5% for both 12°C or below and 22°C or higher. Clear skies and light northerly winds overnight promote strong radiative cooling under the region's continental climate, where September average lows sit near 17–18°C with notable diurnal ranges. Recent GFS and ECMWF runs diverge on boundary-layer moisture and wind shifts that could either enhance or limit cooling, while climatological data indicate rare extremes below 13°C or above 21°C this time of year. Updated model cycles and observational data over the next 24 hours will likely narrow the range before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Цзинане 14 сентября?
12°C или ниже 100%
16°C 40%
18°C 40%
19°C 40%
12°C или ниже
100%
13°C
19%
14°C
22%
15°C
23%
16°C
40%
17°C
22%
18°C
40%
19°C
40%
20°C
40%
21°C
40%
22°C или выше
31%
12°C или ниже 100%
16°C 40%
18°C 40%
19°C 40%
12°C или ниже
100%
13°C
19%
14°C
22%
15°C
23%
16°C
40%
17°C
22%
18°C
40%
19°C
40%
20°C
40%
21°C
40%
22°C или выше
31%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather models show a wide spread in projected overnight minima for Jinan on September 14, producing closely matched market-implied odds of 41.5% for both 12°C or below and 22°C or higher. Clear skies and light northerly winds overnight promote strong radiative cooling under the region's continental climate, where September average lows sit near 17–18°C with notable diurnal ranges. Recent GFS and ECMWF runs diverge on boundary-layer moisture and wind shifts that could either enhance or limit cooling, while climatological data indicate rare extremes below 13°C or above 21°C this time of year. Updated model cycles and observational data over the next 24 hours will likely narrow the range before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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