Recent model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles points to overnight lows near 26°C in Guangzhou on September 15, driven by elevated dew points near 24–25°C, persistent cloud cover, and light winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. High humidity and scattered showers expected through the night further moderate temperature drops, consistent with September climatology where average lows reach 24.2°C but recent patterns favor warmer minima. Trader odds remain tightly clustered between the 30°C+ and 26°C outcomes because small shifts in timing of precipitation or wind could push the minimum across these thresholds, while historical records show rare drops below 22°C under similar conditions. Updated short-range guidance tonight will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Гуанчжоу 15 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Гуанчжоу 15 сентября?
20°C или ниже 60%
30°C или выше 60%
26°C 42%
22°C 39%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
15 сент. 2026 г.
20°C или ниже
60%
21°C
13%
22°C
39%
23°C
22%
24°C
22%
25°C
22%
26°C
36%
27°C
22%
28°C
21%
29°C
17%
30°C или выше
60%
20°C или ниже 60%
30°C или выше 60%
26°C 42%
22°C 39%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
15 сент. 2026 г.
20°C или ниже
$10 Объем
60%
21°C
$10 Объем
13%
22°C
$10 Объем
39%
23°C
$0 Объем
22%
24°C
$0 Объем
22%
25°C
$0 Объем
22%
26°C
$12 Объем
36%
27°C
$0 Объем
22%
28°C
$8 Объем
21%
29°C
$10 Объем
17%
30°C или выше
$10 Объем
60%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles points to overnight lows near 26°C in Guangzhou on September 15, driven by elevated dew points near 24–25°C, persistent cloud cover, and light winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. High humidity and scattered showers expected through the night further moderate temperature drops, consistent with September climatology where average lows reach 24.2°C but recent patterns favor warmer minima. Trader odds remain tightly clustered between the 30°C+ and 26°C outcomes because small shifts in timing of precipitation or wind could push the minimum across these thresholds, while historical records show rare drops below 22°C under similar conditions. Updated short-range guidance tonight will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 13, 2026, 1:32 PM ET
Объем
$70Дата окончания
15 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 13, 2026, 1:32 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles points to overnight lows near 26°C in Guangzhou on September 15, driven by elevated dew points near 24–25°C, persistent cloud cover, and light winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. High humidity and scattered showers expected through the night further moderate temperature drops, consistent with September climatology where average lows reach 24.2°C but recent patterns favor warmer minima. Trader odds remain tightly clustered between the 30°C+ and 26°C outcomes because small shifts in timing of precipitation or wind could push the minimum across these thresholds, while historical records show rare drops below 22°C under similar conditions. Updated short-range guidance tonight will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$70Дата окончания
15 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 13, 2026, 1:32 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles points to overnight lows near 26°C in Guangzhou on September 15, driven by elevated dew points near 24–25°C, persistent cloud cover, and light winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. High humidity and scattered showers expected through the night further moderate temperature drops, consistent with September climatology where average lows reach 24.2°C but recent patterns favor warmer minima. Trader odds remain tightly clustered between the 30°C+ and 26°C outcomes because small shifts in timing of precipitation or wind could push the minimum across these thresholds, while historical records show rare drops below 22°C under similar conditions. Updated short-range guidance tonight will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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