Forecast consensus from multiple meteorological models, including GFS runs, points to a daily high near 31°C in Beijing on September 16 under sunny-to-partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and minimal cloud cover to limit insolation. This setup supports strong daytime heating consistent with late-summer patterns, where the climatological average high sits at 26.3°C but recent clear conditions have allowed readings to exceed norms. Trader positioning favors 31°C as the mode outcome, followed closely by 32°C, reflecting the narrow uncertainty band in afternoon peak measurements before any evening cooling or minor model spread materializes. Official updates through the day will refine the exact maximum recorded at standard stations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Пекине 16 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Пекине 16 сентября?
31°C 48%
32°C 27%
30°C 21%
29°C 5%
НОВОЕ
$25,175 Объем
НОВОЕ
$25,175 Объем
16 сент. 2026 г.
27°C или ниже
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
5%
30°C
21%
31°C
48%
32°C
27%
33°C
4%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C или выше
<1%
31°C 48%
32°C 27%
30°C 21%
29°C 5%
НОВОЕ
$25,175 Объем
НОВОЕ
$25,175 Объем
16 сент. 2026 г.
27°C или ниже
$2,413 Объем
<1%
28°C
$3,080 Объем
<1%
29°C
$2,125 Объем
5%
30°C
$3,927 Объем
21%
31°C
$4,597 Объем
48%
32°C
$4,010 Объем
27%
33°C
$2,388 Объем
4%
34°C
$1,201 Объем
<1%
35°C
$609 Объем
<1%
36°C
$287 Объем
<1%
37°C или выше
$537 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from multiple meteorological models, including GFS runs, points to a daily high near 31°C in Beijing on September 16 under sunny-to-partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and minimal cloud cover to limit insolation. This setup supports strong daytime heating consistent with late-summer patterns, where the climatological average high sits at 26.3°C but recent clear conditions have allowed readings to exceed norms. Trader positioning favors 31°C as the mode outcome, followed closely by 32°C, reflecting the narrow uncertainty band in afternoon peak measurements before any evening cooling or minor model spread materializes. Official updates through the day will refine the exact maximum recorded at standard stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Объем
$25,175Дата окончания
16 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from multiple meteorological models, including GFS runs, points to a daily high near 31°C in Beijing on September 16 under sunny-to-partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and minimal cloud cover to limit insolation. This setup supports strong daytime heating consistent with late-summer patterns, where the climatological average high sits at 26.3°C but recent clear conditions have allowed readings to exceed norms. Trader positioning favors 31°C as the mode outcome, followed closely by 32°C, reflecting the narrow uncertainty band in afternoon peak measurements before any evening cooling or minor model spread materializes. Official updates through the day will refine the exact maximum recorded at standard stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$25,175Дата окончания
16 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from multiple meteorological models, including GFS runs, points to a daily high near 31°C in Beijing on September 16 under sunny-to-partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and minimal cloud cover to limit insolation. This setup supports strong daytime heating consistent with late-summer patterns, where the climatological average high sits at 26.3°C but recent clear conditions have allowed readings to exceed norms. Trader positioning favors 31°C as the mode outcome, followed closely by 32°C, reflecting the narrow uncertainty band in afternoon peak measurements before any evening cooling or minor model spread materializes. Official updates through the day will refine the exact maximum recorded at standard stations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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