Current forecasts from global and regional models indicate a minimum temperature near 19–20°C for Beijing on September 16 under clear skies and light southerly flow, driven by persistent high pressure and above-average daytime heating that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. This places the outcome near or slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological low of 16°C for the date, while historical extremes range from 7.3°C to 23°C. Trader sentiment remains nearly even between sub-12°C and 21°C+ thresholds because short-range model spreads in boundary-layer moisture, wind speed, and any late-arriving cloud cover can shift the overnight minimum by 3–5°C. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble guidance expected within 24 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Пекине 16 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Пекине 16 сентября?
21°C или выше 98%
15°C 40%
16°C 40%
12°C 39%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
16 сент. 2026 г.
11°C или ниже
16%
12°C
39%
13°C
39%
14°C
39%
15°C
40%
16°C
40%
17°C
21%
18°C
39%
19°C
39%
20°C
39%
21°C или выше
98%
21°C или выше 98%
15°C 40%
16°C 40%
12°C 39%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
16 сент. 2026 г.
11°C или ниже
$0 Объем
16%
12°C
$0 Объем
39%
13°C
$0 Объем
39%
14°C
$0 Объем
39%
15°C
$0 Объем
40%
16°C
$0 Объем
40%
17°C
$0 Объем
21%
18°C
$0 Объем
39%
19°C
$0 Объем
39%
20°C
$0 Объем
39%
21°C или выше
$0 Объем
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from global and regional models indicate a minimum temperature near 19–20°C for Beijing on September 16 under clear skies and light southerly flow, driven by persistent high pressure and above-average daytime heating that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. This places the outcome near or slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological low of 16°C for the date, while historical extremes range from 7.3°C to 23°C. Trader sentiment remains nearly even between sub-12°C and 21°C+ thresholds because short-range model spreads in boundary-layer moisture, wind speed, and any late-arriving cloud cover can shift the overnight minimum by 3–5°C. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble guidance expected within 24 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$0Дата окончания
16 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from global and regional models indicate a minimum temperature near 19–20°C for Beijing on September 16 under clear skies and light southerly flow, driven by persistent high pressure and above-average daytime heating that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. This places the outcome near or slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological low of 16°C for the date, while historical extremes range from 7.3°C to 23°C. Trader sentiment remains nearly even between sub-12°C and 21°C+ thresholds because short-range model spreads in boundary-layer moisture, wind speed, and any late-arriving cloud cover can shift the overnight minimum by 3–5°C. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble guidance expected within 24 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$0Дата окончания
16 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from global and regional models indicate a minimum temperature near 19–20°C for Beijing on September 16 under clear skies and light southerly flow, driven by persistent high pressure and above-average daytime heating that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. This places the outcome near or slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological low of 16°C for the date, while historical extremes range from 7.3°C to 23°C. Trader sentiment remains nearly even between sub-12°C and 21°C+ thresholds because short-range model spreads in boundary-layer moisture, wind speed, and any late-arriving cloud cover can shift the overnight minimum by 3–5°C. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble guidance expected within 24 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы