**Official National Weather Service observations from Austin-area stations, including Austin Bergstrom International Airport, recorded a minimum temperature of 73°F on September 16, 2026.** This placed the daily low squarely in the 72–73°F range amid persistently warm late-summer conditions, with overnight readings holding in the mid- to upper 70s under clear to partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow. Forecast models and climatological normals (historical average low near 68°F) had already pointed to above-average overnight temperatures due to regional high pressure and minimal cooling, and post-event summaries confirmed no colder pockets or measurement revisions. The near-certain market-implied odds for 72–73°F reflect this verified station data. Realistic challenges would require documented discrepancies across official sites (such as Camp Mabry versus Bergstrom) exceeding typical microclimate variation or an unreported sensor error, both of which remain unlikely given consistent agency reporting.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Остине 16 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Остине 16 сентября?
72-73°F 100.0%
69°F или ниже <1%
70-71°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$3,852 Объем
$3,852 Объем
16 сент. 2026 г.
69°F или ниже
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
100%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F или выше
<1%
72-73°F 100.0%
69°F или ниже <1%
70-71°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$3,852 Объем
$3,852 Объем
16 сент. 2026 г.
69°F или ниже
$26 Объем
<1%
70-71°F
$603 Объем
<1%
72-73°F
$149 Объем
100%
74-75°F
$1,284 Объем
<1%
76-77°F
$1,449 Объем
<1%
78-79°F
$230 Объем
<1%
80-81°F
$40 Объем
<1%
82-83°F
$10 Объем
<1%
84-85°F
$10 Объем
<1%
86-87°F
$42 Объем
<1%
88°F или выше
$10 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official National Weather Service observations from Austin-area stations, including Austin Bergstrom International Airport, recorded a minimum temperature of 73°F on September 16, 2026.** This placed the daily low squarely in the 72–73°F range amid persistently warm late-summer conditions, with overnight readings holding in the mid- to upper 70s under clear to partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow.
Forecast models and climatological normals (historical average low near 68°F) had already pointed to above-average overnight temperatures due to regional high pressure and minimal cooling, and post-event summaries confirmed no colder pockets or measurement revisions. The near-certain market-implied odds for 72–73°F reflect this verified station data.
Realistic challenges would require documented discrepancies across official sites (such as Camp Mabry versus Bergstrom) exceeding typical microclimate variation or an unreported sensor error, both of which remain unlikely given consistent agency reporting.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 14, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Объем
$3,852Дата окончания
16 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 14, 2026, 3:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official National Weather Service observations from Austin-area stations, including Austin Bergstrom International Airport, recorded a minimum temperature of 73°F on September 16, 2026.** This placed the daily low squarely in the 72–73°F range amid persistently warm late-summer conditions, with overnight readings holding in the mid- to upper 70s under clear to partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow.
Forecast models and climatological normals (historical average low near 68°F) had already pointed to above-average overnight temperatures due to regional high pressure and minimal cooling, and post-event summaries confirmed no colder pockets or measurement revisions. The near-certain market-implied odds for 72–73°F reflect this verified station data.
Realistic challenges would require documented discrepancies across official sites (such as Camp Mabry versus Bergstrom) exceeding typical microclimate variation or an unreported sensor error, both of which remain unlikely given consistent agency reporting.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$3,852Дата окончания
16 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 14, 2026, 3:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Official National Weather Service observations from Austin-area stations, including Austin Bergstrom International Airport, recorded a minimum temperature of 73°F on September 16, 2026.** This placed the daily low squarely in the 72–73°F range amid persistently warm late-summer conditions, with overnight readings holding in the mid- to upper 70s under clear to partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow. Forecast models and climatological normals (historical average low near 68°F) had already pointed to above-average overnight temperatures due to regional high pressure and minimal cooling, and post-event summaries confirmed no colder pockets or measurement revisions. The near-certain market-implied odds for 72–73°F reflect this verified station data. Realistic challenges would require documented discrepancies across official sites (such as Camp Mabry versus Bergstrom) exceeding typical microclimate variation or an unreported sensor error, both of which remain unlikely given consistent agency reporting.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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