National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model guidance currently favor a high near 100°F in Austin on September 16 under mostly sunny skies with light southerly flow. This places the market’s top two bins (100-101°F at 40.5% and 98-99°F at 36.5%) in close contention, reflecting minor differences in projected cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and exact peak timing across ensemble runs. Late-summer southerly advection continues to support above-normal readings relative to the 1991-2020 average high of 91°F, while stable high pressure limits convective cooling. Updated short-range model output and the final NWS forecast discussion before the date will likely tighten the range further as the event approaches.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Остине 16 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Остине 16 сентября?
100-101°F 48%
96–97°F 28%
98–99°F 22%
102-103°F 21%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
16 сент. 2026 г.
89°F или ниже
6%
90-91°F
7%
92-93°F
10%
94-95°F
14%
96–97°F
28%
98–99°F
22%
100-101°F
41%
102-103°F
21%
104-105°F
9%
106-107°F
15%
108°F или выше
5%
100-101°F 48%
96–97°F 28%
98–99°F 22%
102-103°F 21%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
16 сент. 2026 г.
89°F или ниже
$0 Объем
6%
90-91°F
$0 Объем
7%
92-93°F
$0 Объем
10%
94-95°F
$0 Объем
14%
96–97°F
$0 Объем
28%
98–99°F
$0 Объем
22%
100-101°F
$53 Объем
41%
102-103°F
$0 Объем
21%
104-105°F
$0 Объем
9%
106-107°F
$0 Объем
15%
108°F или выше
$0 Объем
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model guidance currently favor a high near 100°F in Austin on September 16 under mostly sunny skies with light southerly flow. This places the market’s top two bins (100-101°F at 40.5% and 98-99°F at 36.5%) in close contention, reflecting minor differences in projected cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and exact peak timing across ensemble runs. Late-summer southerly advection continues to support above-normal readings relative to the 1991-2020 average high of 91°F, while stable high pressure limits convective cooling. Updated short-range model output and the final NWS forecast discussion before the date will likely tighten the range further as the event approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 14, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Объем
$53Дата окончания
16 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 14, 2026, 2:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model guidance currently favor a high near 100°F in Austin on September 16 under mostly sunny skies with light southerly flow. This places the market’s top two bins (100-101°F at 40.5% and 98-99°F at 36.5%) in close contention, reflecting minor differences in projected cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and exact peak timing across ensemble runs. Late-summer southerly advection continues to support above-normal readings relative to the 1991-2020 average high of 91°F, while stable high pressure limits convective cooling. Updated short-range model output and the final NWS forecast discussion before the date will likely tighten the range further as the event approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$53Дата окончания
16 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 14, 2026, 2:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model guidance currently favor a high near 100°F in Austin on September 16 under mostly sunny skies with light southerly flow. This places the market’s top two bins (100-101°F at 40.5% and 98-99°F at 36.5%) in close contention, reflecting minor differences in projected cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and exact peak timing across ensemble runs. Late-summer southerly advection continues to support above-normal readings relative to the 1991-2020 average high of 91°F, while stable high pressure limits convective cooling. Updated short-range model output and the final NWS forecast discussion before the date will likely tighten the range further as the event approaches.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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