Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a cooler, unsettled pattern for Cape Town on September 14 driven by northerly winds, extensive cloud cover, and scattered rain associated with a passing frontal system, keeping maximum temperatures centered near 17–19°C. This aligns with market-implied probabilities favoring 18°C at 32.5% and 17°C at 21.5%, while 19°C holds 17% amid model spread on exact timing and intensity of showers. Historical September averages near 19°C provide context, yet current conditions suppress peaks below typical values. Traders weigh official guidance from agencies like the South African Weather Service against ensemble variability, with resolution hinging on the official highest recorded temperature amid inherent forecast uncertainty in wind-driven mixing and precipitation timing.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Кейптауне 14 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Кейптауне 14 сентября?
18°C 33%
17°C 21%
19°C 18%
20°C 9%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
14 сент. 2026 г.
13°C или ниже
2%
14°C
2%
15°C
3%
16°C
9%
17°C
21%
18°C
33%
19°C
18%
20°C
9%
21°C
3%
22°C
2%
23°C или выше
<1%
18°C 33%
17°C 21%
19°C 18%
20°C 9%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
14 сент. 2026 г.
13°C или ниже
$0 Объем
2%
14°C
$178 Объем
2%
15°C
$38 Объем
3%
16°C
$5 Объем
9%
17°C
$874 Объем
21%
18°C
$51 Объем
33%
19°C
$1,473 Объем
18%
20°C
$1,772 Объем
9%
21°C
$103 Объем
3%
22°C
$0 Объем
2%
23°C или выше
$324 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a cooler, unsettled pattern for Cape Town on September 14 driven by northerly winds, extensive cloud cover, and scattered rain associated with a passing frontal system, keeping maximum temperatures centered near 17–19°C. This aligns with market-implied probabilities favoring 18°C at 32.5% and 17°C at 21.5%, while 19°C holds 17% amid model spread on exact timing and intensity of showers. Historical September averages near 19°C provide context, yet current conditions suppress peaks below typical values. Traders weigh official guidance from agencies like the South African Weather Service against ensemble variability, with resolution hinging on the official highest recorded temperature amid inherent forecast uncertainty in wind-driven mixing and precipitation timing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Объем
$4,771Дата окончания
14 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a cooler, unsettled pattern for Cape Town on September 14 driven by northerly winds, extensive cloud cover, and scattered rain associated with a passing frontal system, keeping maximum temperatures centered near 17–19°C. This aligns with market-implied probabilities favoring 18°C at 32.5% and 17°C at 21.5%, while 19°C holds 17% amid model spread on exact timing and intensity of showers. Historical September averages near 19°C provide context, yet current conditions suppress peaks below typical values. Traders weigh official guidance from agencies like the South African Weather Service against ensemble variability, with resolution hinging on the official highest recorded temperature amid inherent forecast uncertainty in wind-driven mixing and precipitation timing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$4,771Дата окончания
14 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a cooler, unsettled pattern for Cape Town on September 14 driven by northerly winds, extensive cloud cover, and scattered rain associated with a passing frontal system, keeping maximum temperatures centered near 17–19°C. This aligns with market-implied probabilities favoring 18°C at 32.5% and 17°C at 21.5%, while 19°C holds 17% amid model spread on exact timing and intensity of showers. Historical September averages near 19°C provide context, yet current conditions suppress peaks below typical values. Traders weigh official guidance from agencies like the South African Weather Service against ensemble variability, with resolution hinging on the official highest recorded temperature amid inherent forecast uncertainty in wind-driven mixing and precipitation timing.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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