Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance points to overnight lows in Miami on September 16 clustering in the upper 70s, reflecting persistent easterly flow, high boundary-layer moisture, and scattered nocturnal convection that limits radiational cooling. With no frontal passages or tropical systems altering the pattern, minimum temperatures hinge on the timing and coverage of showers, which can suppress drops below 78°F while clear spells allow brief cooling toward 76°F. Historical September 16 averages near 77°F and recent years’ observations around 78–80°F anchor trader focus on the narrow 76–81°F band, where small forecast shifts in dewpoint depression or wind speed readily separate the closely matched 78–79°F, 76–77°F, and 80–81°F outcomes. Updated model runs overnight will clarify whether convection intensifies enough to hold the low above 79°F.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Майами 16 сентября?
78-79°F 39%
76-77°F 29%
80-81°F 16%
74-75°F 13%
71°F или ниже
12%
72-73°F
9%
74-75°F
13%
76-77°F
29%
78-79°F
39%
80-81°F
16%
82-83°F
9%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
1%
90°F или выше
1%
78-79°F 39%
76-77°F 29%
80-81°F 16%
74-75°F 13%
71°F или ниже
12%
72-73°F
9%
74-75°F
13%
76-77°F
29%
78-79°F
39%
80-81°F
16%
82-83°F
9%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
1%
90°F или выше
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 14, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance points to overnight lows in Miami on September 16 clustering in the upper 70s, reflecting persistent easterly flow, high boundary-layer moisture, and scattered nocturnal convection that limits radiational cooling. With no frontal passages or tropical systems altering the pattern, minimum temperatures hinge on the timing and coverage of showers, which can suppress drops below 78°F while clear spells allow brief cooling toward 76°F. Historical September 16 averages near 77°F and recent years’ observations around 78–80°F anchor trader focus on the narrow 76–81°F band, where small forecast shifts in dewpoint depression or wind speed readily separate the closely matched 78–79°F, 76–77°F, and 80–81°F outcomes. Updated model runs overnight will clarify whether convection intensifies enough to hold the low above 79°F.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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