Recent forecast consensus from GFS and other models positions Moscow’s September 17 high near 21°C, with afternoon readings expected to reach 20–22°C under partly cloudy skies and light southwest winds of 3–5 m/s. Stable pressure around 1013–1016 hPa and minimal precipitation risk (under 10%) allow modest daytime warming from overnight lows near 10°C, consistent with southerly flow advecting milder air. This setup explains the strong market weighting toward 21°C (72%) and 22°C (26%), while lower outcomes reflect limited downside from cloudier or windier deviations. Traders monitor final hourly observations and any late-day model updates for resolution thresholds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Москве 17 сентября?
21°C 73%
22°C 26%
20°C 6%
23°C <1%
$12,110 Объем
$12,110 Объем
15°C или ниже
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
6%
21°C
73%
22°C
26%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C или выше
<1%
21°C 73%
22°C 26%
20°C 6%
23°C <1%
$12,110 Объем
$12,110 Объем
15°C или ниже
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
6%
21°C
73%
22°C
26%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 15, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from GFS and other models positions Moscow’s September 17 high near 21°C, with afternoon readings expected to reach 20–22°C under partly cloudy skies and light southwest winds of 3–5 m/s. Stable pressure around 1013–1016 hPa and minimal precipitation risk (under 10%) allow modest daytime warming from overnight lows near 10°C, consistent with southerly flow advecting milder air. This setup explains the strong market weighting toward 21°C (72%) and 22°C (26%), while lower outcomes reflect limited downside from cloudier or windier deviations. Traders monitor final hourly observations and any late-day model updates for resolution thresholds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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