**Current forecasts from multiple models place Moscow's overnight low on September 18 near 11–13 °C, with daytime highs around 18–20 °C under variable cloud cover and a chance of light showers.** Southerly to westerly flow and elevated humidity are limiting radiational cooling, keeping minimum temperatures above the seasonal climatological average of roughly 8–10 °C for mid-September. Model consensus shows modest spread: GFS and ECMWF guidance align on mild conditions, while slight differences in cloud timing or precipitation timing could shift the low by 2–3 °C in either direction. The near-even market split between a sub-5 °C outcome and a 15 °C-plus outcome therefore reflects traders pricing in residual forecast uncertainty rather than a strong directional signal. New model runs and updated guidance from meteorological agencies over the next 48 hours will be the key catalysts likely to narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Москве 18 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Москве 18 сентября?
5°C или ниже 100%
15°C или выше 98%
6°C 40%
7°C 40%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
18 сент. 2026 г.
5°C или ниже
100%
6°C
40%
7°C
40%
8°C
40%
9°C
40%
10°C
40%
11°C
40%
12°C
40%
13°C
40%
14°C
40%
15°C или выше
98%
5°C или ниже 100%
15°C или выше 98%
6°C 40%
7°C 40%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
18 сент. 2026 г.
5°C или ниже
$0 Объем
100%
6°C
$0 Объем
40%
7°C
$0 Объем
40%
8°C
$0 Объем
40%
9°C
$0 Объем
40%
10°C
$0 Объем
40%
11°C
$0 Объем
40%
12°C
$0 Объем
40%
13°C
$0 Объем
40%
14°C
$0 Объем
40%
15°C или выше
$0 Объем
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from multiple models place Moscow's overnight low on September 18 near 11–13 °C, with daytime highs around 18–20 °C under variable cloud cover and a chance of light showers.** Southerly to westerly flow and elevated humidity are limiting radiational cooling, keeping minimum temperatures above the seasonal climatological average of roughly 8–10 °C for mid-September.
Model consensus shows modest spread: GFS and ECMWF guidance align on mild conditions, while slight differences in cloud timing or precipitation timing could shift the low by 2–3 °C in either direction. The near-even market split between a sub-5 °C outcome and a 15 °C-plus outcome therefore reflects traders pricing in residual forecast uncertainty rather than a strong directional signal. New model runs and updated guidance from meteorological agencies over the next 48 hours will be the key catalysts likely to narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 16, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Объем
$0Дата окончания
18 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 16, 2026, 12:31 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from multiple models place Moscow's overnight low on September 18 near 11–13 °C, with daytime highs around 18–20 °C under variable cloud cover and a chance of light showers.** Southerly to westerly flow and elevated humidity are limiting radiational cooling, keeping minimum temperatures above the seasonal climatological average of roughly 8–10 °C for mid-September.
Model consensus shows modest spread: GFS and ECMWF guidance align on mild conditions, while slight differences in cloud timing or precipitation timing could shift the low by 2–3 °C in either direction. The near-even market split between a sub-5 °C outcome and a 15 °C-plus outcome therefore reflects traders pricing in residual forecast uncertainty rather than a strong directional signal. New model runs and updated guidance from meteorological agencies over the next 48 hours will be the key catalysts likely to narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$0Дата окончания
18 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 16, 2026, 12:31 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from multiple models place Moscow's overnight low on September 18 near 11–13 °C, with daytime highs around 18–20 °C under variable cloud cover and a chance of light showers.** Southerly to westerly flow and elevated humidity are limiting radiational cooling, keeping minimum temperatures above the seasonal climatological average of roughly 8–10 °C for mid-September. Model consensus shows modest spread: GFS and ECMWF guidance align on mild conditions, while slight differences in cloud timing or precipitation timing could shift the low by 2–3 °C in either direction. The near-even market split between a sub-5 °C outcome and a 15 °C-plus outcome therefore reflects traders pricing in residual forecast uncertainty rather than a strong directional signal. New model runs and updated guidance from meteorological agencies over the next 48 hours will be the key catalysts likely to narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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