Forecast models from GFS and other sources indicate a clear night with light northerly winds and radiative cooling under high pressure, supporting an overnight low near 8°C for Moscow on September 16—close to the climatological average. This places the minimum temperature outcome in the 6–9°C range, where market-implied probabilities cluster around 20–26%. The near-even odds on extremes (≤1°C or ≥11°C at 42.5% each) reflect residual model spread in boundary-layer cooling rates and potential minor cloud or wind variations that could shift the low by several degrees. Official resolution will hinge on precise meteorological station readings during the coldest hours before sunrise.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Москве 16 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Москве 16 сентября?
11°C или выше 78%
1°C или ниже 77%
4°C 40%
5°C 40%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
16 сент. 2026 г.
1°C или ниже
77%
2°C
16%
3°C
18%
4°C
40%
5°C
40%
6°C
28%
7°C
23%
8°C
24%
9°C
40%
10°C
16%
11°C или выше
78%
11°C или выше 78%
1°C или ниже 77%
4°C 40%
5°C 40%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
16 сент. 2026 г.
1°C или ниже
$0 Объем
77%
2°C
$0 Объем
16%
3°C
$0 Объем
18%
4°C
$0 Объем
40%
5°C
$0 Объем
40%
6°C
$0 Объем
28%
7°C
$0 Объем
23%
8°C
$0 Объем
24%
9°C
$0 Объем
40%
10°C
$0 Объем
16%
11°C или выше
$0 Объем
78%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from GFS and other sources indicate a clear night with light northerly winds and radiative cooling under high pressure, supporting an overnight low near 8°C for Moscow on September 16—close to the climatological average. This places the minimum temperature outcome in the 6–9°C range, where market-implied probabilities cluster around 20–26%. The near-even odds on extremes (≤1°C or ≥11°C at 42.5% each) reflect residual model spread in boundary-layer cooling rates and potential minor cloud or wind variations that could shift the low by several degrees. Official resolution will hinge on precise meteorological station readings during the coldest hours before sunrise.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Объем
$0Дата окончания
16 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from GFS and other sources indicate a clear night with light northerly winds and radiative cooling under high pressure, supporting an overnight low near 8°C for Moscow on September 16—close to the climatological average. This places the minimum temperature outcome in the 6–9°C range, where market-implied probabilities cluster around 20–26%. The near-even odds on extremes (≤1°C or ≥11°C at 42.5% each) reflect residual model spread in boundary-layer cooling rates and potential minor cloud or wind variations that could shift the low by several degrees. Official resolution will hinge on precise meteorological station readings during the coldest hours before sunrise.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$0Дата окончания
16 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from GFS and other sources indicate a clear night with light northerly winds and radiative cooling under high pressure, supporting an overnight low near 8°C for Moscow on September 16—close to the climatological average. This places the minimum temperature outcome in the 6–9°C range, where market-implied probabilities cluster around 20–26%. The near-even odds on extremes (≤1°C or ≥11°C at 42.5% each) reflect residual model spread in boundary-layer cooling rates and potential minor cloud or wind variations that could shift the low by several degrees. Official resolution will hinge on precise meteorological station readings during the coldest hours before sunrise.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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