Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus point to overnight lows in the mid-to-upper 60s°F for Chicago on September 17, with persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and northeast winds limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and advecting milder maritime air. These conditions, combined with elevated dew points near 65°F and Lake Michigan moderation, support the market’s near-even split between the 66-67°F bin at 52% implied probability and the 59°F-or-below outcome at 47.5%. Historical September climatology shows average lows near 58°F, but current synoptic patterns favor reduced cooling relative to clear-sky baselines. Updated NHC and local WFO forecasts through the evening will refine the final minimum before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Чикаго 17 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Чикаго 17 сентября?
59°F или ниже 82%
66-67°F 59%
64-65°F 38%
72-73°F 25%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
17 сент. 2026 г.
59°F или ниже
82%
60-61°F
6%
62-63°F
13%
64-65°F
27%
66-67°F
52%
68-69°F
19%
70-71°F
22%
72-73°F
25%
74-75°F
4%
76-77°F
14%
78°F или выше
2%
59°F или ниже 82%
66-67°F 59%
64-65°F 38%
72-73°F 25%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
17 сент. 2026 г.
59°F или ниже
$0 Объем
82%
60-61°F
$16 Объем
6%
62-63°F
$10 Объем
13%
64-65°F
$3 Объем
27%
66-67°F
$83 Объем
52%
68-69°F
$307 Объем
19%
70-71°F
$0 Объем
22%
72-73°F
$0 Объем
25%
74-75°F
$0 Объем
4%
76-77°F
$46 Объем
14%
78°F или выше
$41 Объем
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus point to overnight lows in the mid-to-upper 60s°F for Chicago on September 17, with persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and northeast winds limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and advecting milder maritime air. These conditions, combined with elevated dew points near 65°F and Lake Michigan moderation, support the market’s near-even split between the 66-67°F bin at 52% implied probability and the 59°F-or-below outcome at 47.5%. Historical September climatology shows average lows near 58°F, but current synoptic patterns favor reduced cooling relative to clear-sky baselines. Updated NHC and local WFO forecasts through the evening will refine the final minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 15, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Объем
$505Дата окончания
17 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 15, 2026, 3:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus point to overnight lows in the mid-to-upper 60s°F for Chicago on September 17, with persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and northeast winds limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and advecting milder maritime air. These conditions, combined with elevated dew points near 65°F and Lake Michigan moderation, support the market’s near-even split between the 66-67°F bin at 52% implied probability and the 59°F-or-below outcome at 47.5%. Historical September climatology shows average lows near 58°F, but current synoptic patterns favor reduced cooling relative to clear-sky baselines. Updated NHC and local WFO forecasts through the evening will refine the final minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$505Дата окончания
17 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 15, 2026, 3:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus point to overnight lows in the mid-to-upper 60s°F for Chicago on September 17, with persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and northeast winds limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and advecting milder maritime air. These conditions, combined with elevated dew points near 65°F and Lake Michigan moderation, support the market’s near-even split between the 66-67°F bin at 52% implied probability and the 59°F-or-below outcome at 47.5%. Historical September climatology shows average lows near 58°F, but current synoptic patterns favor reduced cooling relative to clear-sky baselines. Updated NHC and local WFO forecasts through the evening will refine the final minimum before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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