Recent forecast consensus from models including GFS and INMET points to a minimum temperature near 14–15°C in São Paulo on September 18 under persistent overcast skies and light easterly flow, following an unusually cool and record-wet early September. Stable high pressure has limited nocturnal cooling despite elevated soil moisture from prior heavy rainfall, while model spreads introduce modest uncertainty around whether the low dips to 11–13°C or holds near 15–16°C. Historical September baselines average lows near 12–14°C, but the current pattern of suppressed daytime heating has kept overnight values elevated relative to drier analogs. Final INMET station readings will resolve the market once the 24-hour minimum is confirmed.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Сан-Паулу 18 сентября?
19°C или выше 90%
15°C 46%
16°C 38%
11°C 37%
9°C или ниже
36%
10°C
36%
11°C
37%
12°C
37%
13°C
36%
14°C
34%
15°C
46%
16°C
38%
17°C
5%
18°C
5%
19°C или выше
90%
19°C или выше 90%
15°C 46%
16°C 38%
11°C 37%
9°C или ниже
36%
10°C
36%
11°C
37%
12°C
37%
13°C
36%
14°C
34%
15°C
46%
16°C
38%
17°C
5%
18°C
5%
19°C или выше
90%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 16, 2026, 8:28 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from models including GFS and INMET points to a minimum temperature near 14–15°C in São Paulo on September 18 under persistent overcast skies and light easterly flow, following an unusually cool and record-wet early September. Stable high pressure has limited nocturnal cooling despite elevated soil moisture from prior heavy rainfall, while model spreads introduce modest uncertainty around whether the low dips to 11–13°C or holds near 15–16°C. Historical September baselines average lows near 12–14°C, but the current pattern of suppressed daytime heating has kept overnight values elevated relative to drier analogs. Final INMET station readings will resolve the market once the 24-hour minimum is confirmed.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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