**Official forecasts from PAGASA and international models indicate a high near 30–31°C for Manila on September 17, 2026, under the influence of the southwest monsoon (Habagat) and widespread cloud cover with scattered thunderstorms.** These conditions—typical of the rainy season—limit daytime heating through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling from frequent rain, aligning closely with the market-implied 89% probability on 31°C. Recent PAGASA outlooks note near- to above-average temperatures amid enhanced monsoon rainfall, with no signals of anomalous warming or clear skies that would push readings to 32°C or higher. Historical September baselines for the city hover around 30–31°C, reinforcing trader consensus on this narrow range as new model runs and morning observations confirm the expected peak.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Маниле 17 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Маниле 17 сентября?
31°C 89%
32°C 13%
33°C 3%
34°C <1%
$35,488 Объем
$35,488 Объем
17 сент. 2026 г.
26°C или ниже
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
80%
32°C
20%
33°C
3%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C или выше
<1%
31°C 89%
32°C 13%
33°C 3%
34°C <1%
$35,488 Объем
$35,488 Объем
17 сент. 2026 г.
26°C или ниже
$1,577 Объем
<1%
27°C
$538 Объем
<1%
28°C
$794 Объем
<1%
29°C
$2,417 Объем
<1%
30°C
$9,632 Объем
<1%
31°C
$3,989 Объем
80%
32°C
$7,641 Объем
20%
33°C
$6,161 Объем
3%
34°C
$985 Объем
<1%
35°C
$471 Объем
<1%
36°C или выше
$1,283 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from PAGASA and international models indicate a high near 30–31°C for Manila on September 17, 2026, under the influence of the southwest monsoon (Habagat) and widespread cloud cover with scattered thunderstorms.**
These conditions—typical of the rainy season—limit daytime heating through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling from frequent rain, aligning closely with the market-implied 89% probability on 31°C. Recent PAGASA outlooks note near- to above-average temperatures amid enhanced monsoon rainfall, with no signals of anomalous warming or clear skies that would push readings to 32°C or higher. Historical September baselines for the city hover around 30–31°C, reinforcing trader consensus on this narrow range as new model runs and morning observations confirm the expected peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 15, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Объем
$35,488Дата окончания
17 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 15, 2026, 12:59 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from PAGASA and international models indicate a high near 30–31°C for Manila on September 17, 2026, under the influence of the southwest monsoon (Habagat) and widespread cloud cover with scattered thunderstorms.**
These conditions—typical of the rainy season—limit daytime heating through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling from frequent rain, aligning closely with the market-implied 89% probability on 31°C. Recent PAGASA outlooks note near- to above-average temperatures amid enhanced monsoon rainfall, with no signals of anomalous warming or clear skies that would push readings to 32°C or higher. Historical September baselines for the city hover around 30–31°C, reinforcing trader consensus on this narrow range as new model runs and morning observations confirm the expected peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$35,488Дата окончания
17 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 15, 2026, 12:59 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Official forecasts from PAGASA and international models indicate a high near 30–31°C for Manila on September 17, 2026, under the influence of the southwest monsoon (Habagat) and widespread cloud cover with scattered thunderstorms.** These conditions—typical of the rainy season—limit daytime heating through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling from frequent rain, aligning closely with the market-implied 89% probability on 31°C. Recent PAGASA outlooks note near- to above-average temperatures amid enhanced monsoon rainfall, with no signals of anomalous warming or clear skies that would push readings to 32°C or higher. Historical September baselines for the city hover around 30–31°C, reinforcing trader consensus on this narrow range as new model runs and morning observations confirm the expected peak.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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