Current forecasts for Panama City point to a daily high near 32–33°C on September 18, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities for those outcomes. In the tropical climate of the isthmus, September temperatures are shaped by the position of the Intertropical Convergence Zone, high humidity, and variable cloud cover during the rainy season; recent model runs show limited convective activity and light steering winds that favor modest daytime warming above the long-term September average of roughly 30–31°C. A strong El Niño event currently underway has produced warmer-than-normal sea surface temperatures across the eastern Pacific, supporting elevated air temperatures and reduced rainfall that can push peaks higher. Traders are weighting the latest global model consensus and any overnight adjustments from agencies such as Panama’s ETESA meteorology service, with resolution hinging on the official maximum recorded at the primary observing station.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Панама-Сити 18 сентября?
33°C 41%
32°C 30%
34°C или выше 17%
31°C 12%
24°C или ниже
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
3%
31°C
12%
32°C
30%
33°C
41%
34°C или выше
17%
33°C 41%
32°C 30%
34°C или выше 17%
31°C 12%
24°C или ниже
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
3%
31°C
12%
32°C
30%
33°C
41%
34°C или выше
17%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 16, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts for Panama City point to a daily high near 32–33°C on September 18, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities for those outcomes. In the tropical climate of the isthmus, September temperatures are shaped by the position of the Intertropical Convergence Zone, high humidity, and variable cloud cover during the rainy season; recent model runs show limited convective activity and light steering winds that favor modest daytime warming above the long-term September average of roughly 30–31°C. A strong El Niño event currently underway has produced warmer-than-normal sea surface temperatures across the eastern Pacific, supporting elevated air temperatures and reduced rainfall that can push peaks higher. Traders are weighting the latest global model consensus and any overnight adjustments from agencies such as Panama’s ETESA meteorology service, with resolution hinging on the official maximum recorded at the primary observing station.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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