National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas on September 15, 2026, call for sunny skies, light southerly winds, and a daytime high near 101°F under a heat advisory, with heat index values reaching 106°F. This consensus from official models supports the market's strong preference for the 100-101°F range at 69% implied probability, as persistent high pressure and minimal cloud cover favor peak readings in that narrow band rather than cooler or significantly hotter outcomes. Recent observations show overnight lows in the low 80s with no precipitation to moderate afternoon temperatures. Traders are watching real-time DFW airport readings through the afternoon for any deviations from the 101°F guidance that could shift the exact maximum.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Далласе 15 сентября?
100-101°F 70%
98-99°F 27%
102-103°F 5%
96–97°F 2%
$11,741 Объем
$11,741 Объем
91°F или ниже
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
1%
96–97°F
2%
98-99°F
27%
100-101°F
70%
102-103°F
5%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110°F или выше
<1%
100-101°F 70%
98-99°F 27%
102-103°F 5%
96–97°F 2%
$11,741 Объем
$11,741 Объем
91°F или ниже
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
1%
96–97°F
2%
98-99°F
27%
100-101°F
70%
102-103°F
5%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110°F или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas on September 15, 2026, call for sunny skies, light southerly winds, and a daytime high near 101°F under a heat advisory, with heat index values reaching 106°F. This consensus from official models supports the market's strong preference for the 100-101°F range at 69% implied probability, as persistent high pressure and minimal cloud cover favor peak readings in that narrow band rather than cooler or significantly hotter outcomes. Recent observations show overnight lows in the low 80s with no precipitation to moderate afternoon temperatures. Traders are watching real-time DFW airport readings through the afternoon for any deviations from the 101°F guidance that could shift the exact maximum.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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