**Official National Weather Service observations from Dallas/Fort Worth International Airport recorded a minimum temperature of 81°F on September 15, 2026, during a prolonged heat wave.** Clear skies and light southerly flow limited overnight radiational cooling, keeping lows well above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 70°F. Multiple forecast models and local analyses converged on this range, producing the market’s overwhelming 98% implied probability for the 80–81°F bucket. Minor probability mass on adjacent ranges reflects possible station-to-station variability or rounding conventions, while sub-78°F outcomes remain improbable given the verified data. Resolution hinges on the final certified NWS minimum; any post-event quality-control revision could theoretically shift the outcome, though such changes are rare for this station.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Далласе 15 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Далласе 15 сентября?
80-81°F 100.0%
73°F или ниже <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$1,116 Объем
$1,116 Объем
15 сент. 2026 г.
73°F или ниже
Нет
74-75°F
Нет
76-77°F
Нет
78-79°F
Нет
80-81°F
Да
82-83°F
Нет
84–85°F
Нет
86-87°F
Нет
88–89°F
Нет
90-91°F
Нет
92°F или выше
Нет
80-81°F 100.0%
73°F или ниже <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$1,116 Объем
$1,116 Объем
15 сент. 2026 г.
73°F или ниже
$16 Объем
Нет
74-75°F
$16 Объем
Нет
76-77°F
$226 Объем
Нет
78-79°F
$87 Объем
Нет
80-81°F
$357 Объем
Да
82-83°F
$115 Объем
Нет
84–85°F
$284 Объем
Нет
86-87°F
$0 Объем
Нет
88–89°F
$0 Объем
Нет
90-91°F
$16 Объем
Нет
92°F или выше
$0 Объем
Нет
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official National Weather Service observations from Dallas/Fort Worth International Airport recorded a minimum temperature of 81°F on September 15, 2026, during a prolonged heat wave.** Clear skies and light southerly flow limited overnight radiational cooling, keeping lows well above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 70°F. Multiple forecast models and local analyses converged on this range, producing the market’s overwhelming 98% implied probability for the 80–81°F bucket. Minor probability mass on adjacent ranges reflects possible station-to-station variability or rounding conventions, while sub-78°F outcomes remain improbable given the verified data. Resolution hinges on the final certified NWS minimum; any post-event quality-control revision could theoretically shift the outcome, though such changes are rare for this station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 13, 2026, 1:29 PM ET
Объем
$1,116Дата окончания
15 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 13, 2026, 1:29 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official National Weather Service observations from Dallas/Fort Worth International Airport recorded a minimum temperature of 81°F on September 15, 2026, during a prolonged heat wave.** Clear skies and light southerly flow limited overnight radiational cooling, keeping lows well above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 70°F. Multiple forecast models and local analyses converged on this range, producing the market’s overwhelming 98% implied probability for the 80–81°F bucket. Minor probability mass on adjacent ranges reflects possible station-to-station variability or rounding conventions, while sub-78°F outcomes remain improbable given the verified data. Resolution hinges on the final certified NWS minimum; any post-event quality-control revision could theoretically shift the outcome, though such changes are rare for this station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,116Дата окончания
15 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 13, 2026, 1:29 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
**Official National Weather Service observations from Dallas/Fort Worth International Airport recorded a minimum temperature of 81°F on September 15, 2026, during a prolonged heat wave.** Clear skies and light southerly flow limited overnight radiational cooling, keeping lows well above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 70°F. Multiple forecast models and local analyses converged on this range, producing the market’s overwhelming 98% implied probability for the 80–81°F bucket. Minor probability mass on adjacent ranges reflects possible station-to-station variability or rounding conventions, while sub-78°F outcomes remain improbable given the verified data. Resolution hinges on the final certified NWS minimum; any post-event quality-control revision could theoretically shift the outcome, though such changes are rare for this station.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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