Current numerical weather prediction models, including GFS outputs, indicate a cool, overcast day for Cape Town on September 15 driven by northwest winds advecting moist air and widespread cloud cover that limits surface heating. This setup favors a daily maximum near 16–17°C, below the late-winter/early-spring climatological average of roughly 18°C, as persistent showers and reduced insolation suppress diurnal warming. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around these values because ensemble members show limited spread in boundary-layer moisture and steering flow, while higher outcomes (20°C+) would require rapid clearing or warmer advection not currently signaled. Updated short-range runs from global centers will further constrain resolution criteria tied to official station maxima.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Кейптауне 15 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Кейптауне 15 сентября?
18°C 29%
17°C 26%
19°C 23%
22°C или выше 15%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
15 сент. 2026 г.
12°C или ниже
3%
13°C
4%
14°C
4%
15°C
7%
16°C
11%
17°C
26%
18°C
29%
19°C
23%
20°C
8%
21°C
5%
22°C или выше
15%
18°C 29%
17°C 26%
19°C 23%
22°C или выше 15%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
15 сент. 2026 г.
12°C или ниже
$10 Объем
3%
13°C
$10 Объем
4%
14°C
$10 Объем
4%
15°C
$0 Объем
7%
16°C
$0 Объем
11%
17°C
$2 Объем
26%
18°C
$0 Объем
29%
19°C
$26 Объем
23%
20°C
$50 Объем
8%
21°C
$0 Объем
5%
22°C или выше
$10 Объем
15%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models, including GFS outputs, indicate a cool, overcast day for Cape Town on September 15 driven by northwest winds advecting moist air and widespread cloud cover that limits surface heating. This setup favors a daily maximum near 16–17°C, below the late-winter/early-spring climatological average of roughly 18°C, as persistent showers and reduced insolation suppress diurnal warming. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around these values because ensemble members show limited spread in boundary-layer moisture and steering flow, while higher outcomes (20°C+) would require rapid clearing or warmer advection not currently signaled. Updated short-range runs from global centers will further constrain resolution criteria tied to official station maxima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 13, 2026, 1:56 PM ET
Объем
$116Дата окончания
15 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 13, 2026, 1:56 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models, including GFS outputs, indicate a cool, overcast day for Cape Town on September 15 driven by northwest winds advecting moist air and widespread cloud cover that limits surface heating. This setup favors a daily maximum near 16–17°C, below the late-winter/early-spring climatological average of roughly 18°C, as persistent showers and reduced insolation suppress diurnal warming. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around these values because ensemble members show limited spread in boundary-layer moisture and steering flow, while higher outcomes (20°C+) would require rapid clearing or warmer advection not currently signaled. Updated short-range runs from global centers will further constrain resolution criteria tied to official station maxima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$116Дата окончания
15 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 13, 2026, 1:56 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather prediction models, including GFS outputs, indicate a cool, overcast day for Cape Town on September 15 driven by northwest winds advecting moist air and widespread cloud cover that limits surface heating. This setup favors a daily maximum near 16–17°C, below the late-winter/early-spring climatological average of roughly 18°C, as persistent showers and reduced insolation suppress diurnal warming. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around these values because ensemble members show limited spread in boundary-layer moisture and steering flow, while higher outcomes (20°C+) would require rapid clearing or warmer advection not currently signaled. Updated short-range runs from global centers will further constrain resolution criteria tied to official station maxima.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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