Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project a sunny day in Qingdao on September 15 with southerly winds of 3-4 levels and a daily maximum near 26-28°C, consistent with typical early autumn patterns under stable high pressure. Trader sentiment, however, concentrates implied probability on 30°C and 31°C outcomes, likely reflecting expectations of enhanced daytime heating from clear skies, low humidity, and potential urban heat island effects at official stations that could exceed model guidance by 2-3°C. With resolution tied to the highest hourly or daily peak reported, any late-day warming or measurement variance could shift results, though climatological baselines for mid-September rarely exceed 29°C without unusual southerly flow. Updated model runs and official Chinese Meteorological Administration briefings tomorrow morning represent the key upcoming data points for position adjustments.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Циндао 15 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Циндао 15 сентября?
30°C 48%
31°C 38%
32°C или выше 8%
29°C 7%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
15 сент. 2026 г.
22°C или ниже
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
7%
30°C
48%
31°C
38%
32°C или выше
8%
30°C 48%
31°C 38%
32°C или выше 8%
29°C 7%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
15 сент. 2026 г.
22°C или ниже
$98 Объем
<1%
23°C
$88 Объем
<1%
24°C
$198 Объем
<1%
25°C
$188 Объем
<1%
26°C
$155 Объем
<1%
27°C
$373 Объем
1%
28°C
$93 Объем
2%
29°C
$523 Объем
7%
30°C
$2,005 Объем
48%
31°C
$952 Объем
38%
32°C или выше
$1,913 Объем
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project a sunny day in Qingdao on September 15 with southerly winds of 3-4 levels and a daily maximum near 26-28°C, consistent with typical early autumn patterns under stable high pressure. Trader sentiment, however, concentrates implied probability on 30°C and 31°C outcomes, likely reflecting expectations of enhanced daytime heating from clear skies, low humidity, and potential urban heat island effects at official stations that could exceed model guidance by 2-3°C. With resolution tied to the highest hourly or daily peak reported, any late-day warming or measurement variance could shift results, though climatological baselines for mid-September rarely exceed 29°C without unusual southerly flow. Updated model runs and official Chinese Meteorological Administration briefings tomorrow morning represent the key upcoming data points for position adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 13, 2026, 1:56 PM ET
Объем
$6,506Дата окончания
15 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 13, 2026, 1:56 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project a sunny day in Qingdao on September 15 with southerly winds of 3-4 levels and a daily maximum near 26-28°C, consistent with typical early autumn patterns under stable high pressure. Trader sentiment, however, concentrates implied probability on 30°C and 31°C outcomes, likely reflecting expectations of enhanced daytime heating from clear skies, low humidity, and potential urban heat island effects at official stations that could exceed model guidance by 2-3°C. With resolution tied to the highest hourly or daily peak reported, any late-day warming or measurement variance could shift results, though climatological baselines for mid-September rarely exceed 29°C without unusual southerly flow. Updated model runs and official Chinese Meteorological Administration briefings tomorrow morning represent the key upcoming data points for position adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$6,506Дата окончания
15 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 13, 2026, 1:56 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project a sunny day in Qingdao on September 15 with southerly winds of 3-4 levels and a daily maximum near 26-28°C, consistent with typical early autumn patterns under stable high pressure. Trader sentiment, however, concentrates implied probability on 30°C and 31°C outcomes, likely reflecting expectations of enhanced daytime heating from clear skies, low humidity, and potential urban heat island effects at official stations that could exceed model guidance by 2-3°C. With resolution tied to the highest hourly or daily peak reported, any late-day warming or measurement variance could shift results, though climatological baselines for mid-September rarely exceed 29°C without unusual southerly flow. Updated model runs and official Chinese Meteorological Administration briefings tomorrow morning represent the key upcoming data points for position adjustments.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы