Recent official forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting models project a high of 25–26°C for Toronto on September 13, driven by partly cloudy conditions, westerly flow, and modest daytime heating under late-summer insolation. Afternoon peaks in several model runs reach 26°C, supporting the market’s leading 26°C outcome at 41.5% implied probability, while cooler boundary-layer mixing and a 30% shower chance cap upside risk and keep 27°C at 18.5%. These values sit well above the 1991–2020 average high of 22.6°C, reflecting a mild air mass without strong advection or blocking patterns. Traders appear to weigh the tight clustering of guidance around 25–26°C against residual model spread and the narrow window for measurement at Pearson Airport, producing the observed distribution centered on those two bins.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Торонто 13 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Торонто 13 сентября?
26°C 42%
25°C 28%
27°C 19%
24°C 7%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
13 сент. 2026 г.
19°C или ниже
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
7%
25°C
28%
26°C
42%
27°C
19%
28°C
6%
29°C или выше
3%
26°C 42%
25°C 28%
27°C 19%
24°C 7%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
13 сент. 2026 г.
19°C или ниже
$397 Объем
<1%
20°C
$97 Объем
1%
21°C
$90 Объем
1%
22°C
$0 Объем
1%
23°C
$5 Объем
3%
24°C
$334 Объем
7%
25°C
$1,269 Объем
28%
26°C
$431 Объем
42%
27°C
$755 Объем
19%
28°C
$12 Объем
6%
29°C или выше
$18 Объем
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting models project a high of 25–26°C for Toronto on September 13, driven by partly cloudy conditions, westerly flow, and modest daytime heating under late-summer insolation. Afternoon peaks in several model runs reach 26°C, supporting the market’s leading 26°C outcome at 41.5% implied probability, while cooler boundary-layer mixing and a 30% shower chance cap upside risk and keep 27°C at 18.5%. These values sit well above the 1991–2020 average high of 22.6°C, reflecting a mild air mass without strong advection or blocking patterns. Traders appear to weigh the tight clustering of guidance around 25–26°C against residual model spread and the narrow window for measurement at Pearson Airport, producing the observed distribution centered on those two bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 11, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Объем
$3,408Дата окончания
13 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 11, 2026, 8:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting models project a high of 25–26°C for Toronto on September 13, driven by partly cloudy conditions, westerly flow, and modest daytime heating under late-summer insolation. Afternoon peaks in several model runs reach 26°C, supporting the market’s leading 26°C outcome at 41.5% implied probability, while cooler boundary-layer mixing and a 30% shower chance cap upside risk and keep 27°C at 18.5%. These values sit well above the 1991–2020 average high of 22.6°C, reflecting a mild air mass without strong advection or blocking patterns. Traders appear to weigh the tight clustering of guidance around 25–26°C against residual model spread and the narrow window for measurement at Pearson Airport, producing the observed distribution centered on those two bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$3,408Дата окончания
13 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 11, 2026, 8:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting models project a high of 25–26°C for Toronto on September 13, driven by partly cloudy conditions, westerly flow, and modest daytime heating under late-summer insolation. Afternoon peaks in several model runs reach 26°C, supporting the market’s leading 26°C outcome at 41.5% implied probability, while cooler boundary-layer mixing and a 30% shower chance cap upside risk and keep 27°C at 18.5%. These values sit well above the 1991–2020 average high of 22.6°C, reflecting a mild air mass without strong advection or blocking patterns. Traders appear to weigh the tight clustering of guidance around 25–26°C against residual model spread and the narrow window for measurement at Pearson Airport, producing the observed distribution centered on those two bins.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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