Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a post-frontal northwest flow will clear skies over New York City after Sunday showers, promoting strong radiative cooling and a Monday overnight low centered near 64°F. Northwest winds of 8–12 mph will limit boundary-layer mixing while dew points drop into the upper 40s, favoring the 64–65°F bin that holds the highest market-implied probability. Minor forecast spread arises from exact clearing timing and wind gust strength, which could nudge readings into the mid-60s or briefly to 62–63°F. Traders are weighting the latest GFS and NAM runs showing minimal cloud cover and dry advection, with resolution hinging on the official Central Park minimum reported for the calendar day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Нью-Йорке 14 сентября?
64-65°F 42%
66-67°F 37%
68-69°F 13%
62-63°F 11%
57°F или ниже
1%
58-59°F
1%
60–61°F
4%
62-63°F
11%
64-65°F
42%
66-67°F
37%
68-69°F
13%
70-71°F
5%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
1%
76°F или выше
1%
64-65°F 42%
66-67°F 37%
68-69°F 13%
62-63°F 11%
57°F или ниже
1%
58-59°F
1%
60–61°F
4%
62-63°F
11%
64-65°F
42%
66-67°F
37%
68-69°F
13%
70-71°F
5%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
1%
76°F или выше
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 12, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a post-frontal northwest flow will clear skies over New York City after Sunday showers, promoting strong radiative cooling and a Monday overnight low centered near 64°F. Northwest winds of 8–12 mph will limit boundary-layer mixing while dew points drop into the upper 40s, favoring the 64–65°F bin that holds the highest market-implied probability. Minor forecast spread arises from exact clearing timing and wind gust strength, which could nudge readings into the mid-60s or briefly to 62–63°F. Traders are weighting the latest GFS and NAM runs showing minimal cloud cover and dry advection, with resolution hinging on the official Central Park minimum reported for the calendar day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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