**Recent forecasts from Russian meteorological sources and global models (GFS-based) indicate a maximum temperature of 16–18°C in Moscow on September 13, 2026, under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds of 2–4 m/s, and stable high pressure near 750 mmHg.** This positions 17°C as the consensus outcome (46% implied probability), followed by 16°C and 18°C, aligning closely with the long-term average high of 16.9°C for the date. No significant warm or cold advection is expected, and precipitation chances remain low. Model runs released on September 12 show minimal spread, supporting tight clustering around these values rather than outliers. Traders are weighting the latest official guidance and ensemble consistency, with limited room for revision before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Москве 13 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Москве 13 сентября?
17°C 46%
16°C 32%
18°C 16%
15°C 5%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
13 сент. 2026 г.
13°C или ниже
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
5%
16°C
32%
17°C
46%
18°C
16%
19°C
3%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C или выше
<1%
17°C 46%
16°C 32%
18°C 16%
15°C 5%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
13 сент. 2026 г.
13°C или ниже
$286 Объем
<1%
14°C
$173 Объем
1%
15°C
$114 Объем
5%
16°C
$358 Объем
32%
17°C
$928 Объем
46%
18°C
$471 Объем
16%
19°C
$394 Объем
3%
20°C
$272 Объем
1%
21°C
$265 Объем
<1%
22°C
$147 Объем
<1%
23°C или выше
$147 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts from Russian meteorological sources and global models (GFS-based) indicate a maximum temperature of 16–18°C in Moscow on September 13, 2026, under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds of 2–4 m/s, and stable high pressure near 750 mmHg.**
This positions 17°C as the consensus outcome (46% implied probability), followed by 16°C and 18°C, aligning closely with the long-term average high of 16.9°C for the date. No significant warm or cold advection is expected, and precipitation chances remain low. Model runs released on September 12 show minimal spread, supporting tight clustering around these values rather than outliers. Traders are weighting the latest official guidance and ensemble consistency, with limited room for revision before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Объем
$3,554Дата окончания
13 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts from Russian meteorological sources and global models (GFS-based) indicate a maximum temperature of 16–18°C in Moscow on September 13, 2026, under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds of 2–4 m/s, and stable high pressure near 750 mmHg.**
This positions 17°C as the consensus outcome (46% implied probability), followed by 16°C and 18°C, aligning closely with the long-term average high of 16.9°C for the date. No significant warm or cold advection is expected, and precipitation chances remain low. Model runs released on September 12 show minimal spread, supporting tight clustering around these values rather than outliers. Traders are weighting the latest official guidance and ensemble consistency, with limited room for revision before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$3,554Дата окончания
13 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Recent forecasts from Russian meteorological sources and global models (GFS-based) indicate a maximum temperature of 16–18°C in Moscow on September 13, 2026, under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds of 2–4 m/s, and stable high pressure near 750 mmHg.** This positions 17°C as the consensus outcome (46% implied probability), followed by 16°C and 18°C, aligning closely with the long-term average high of 16.9°C for the date. No significant warm or cold advection is expected, and precipitation chances remain low. Model runs released on September 12 show minimal spread, supporting tight clustering around these values rather than outliers. Traders are weighting the latest official guidance and ensemble consistency, with limited room for revision before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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