Current forecast models from sources like GFS and the Russian Hydrometeorological Center indicate a daily minimum near 8–9°C for Moscow on September 13 under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds of 2–5 m/s, and stable pressure around 749–750 mmHg. These conditions limit radiative cooling while allowing modest overnight temperature drops, aligning with the climatological average low of 8.4°C. Trader consensus clusters around 7–8°C outcomes due to this guidance, though spreads to extremes like 2°C or below reflect lingering model divergence on cloud cover and wind mixing. New observational data and updated runs overnight will refine resolution thresholds before the market settles.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Москве 13 сентября?
12°C или выше 50%
2°C или ниже 48%
4°C 40%
10°C 40%
2°C или ниже
48%
3°C
11%
4°C
40%
5°C
22%
6°C
25%
7°C
29%
8°C
28%
9°C
22%
10°C
40%
11°C
16%
12°C или выше
50%
12°C или выше 50%
2°C или ниже 48%
4°C 40%
10°C 40%
2°C или ниже
48%
3°C
11%
4°C
40%
5°C
22%
6°C
25%
7°C
29%
8°C
28%
9°C
22%
10°C
40%
11°C
16%
12°C или выше
50%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources like GFS and the Russian Hydrometeorological Center indicate a daily minimum near 8–9°C for Moscow on September 13 under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds of 2–5 m/s, and stable pressure around 749–750 mmHg. These conditions limit radiative cooling while allowing modest overnight temperature drops, aligning with the climatological average low of 8.4°C. Trader consensus clusters around 7–8°C outcomes due to this guidance, though spreads to extremes like 2°C or below reflect lingering model divergence on cloud cover and wind mixing. New observational data and updated runs overnight will refine resolution thresholds before the market settles.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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