Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center project a nighttime low near 8°C in Moscow on September 12 under partly cloudy conditions, westerly winds of 6-11 m/s, and stable pressure around 748-749 mmHg. This aligns closely with the 1991-2020 climatological average low of 8.6°C for the date. Market-implied odds split evenly between 8°C and 9°C because ensemble models show minor divergences in radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, with some runs favoring slightly warmer minima near 9-10°C. Lower probabilities for 7°C or below reflect limited potential for stronger cold advection or clear-sky radiational cooling on this date. Updated model runs and official observations will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Москве 12 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Москве 12 сентября?
9°C 52%
7°C 10%
6°C 6.9%
5°C 4.9%
$314 Объем
$314 Объем
12 сент. 2026 г.
4°C или ниже
<1%
5°C
5%
6°C
7%
7°C
10%
8°C
51%
9°C
52%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C или выше
<1%
9°C 52%
7°C 10%
6°C 6.9%
5°C 4.9%
$314 Объем
$314 Объем
12 сент. 2026 г.
4°C или ниже
$0 Объем
<1%
5°C
$15 Объем
5%
6°C
$15 Объем
7%
7°C
$35 Объем
10%
8°C
$23 Объем
51%
9°C
$0 Объем
52%
10°C
$182 Объем
<1%
11°C
$0 Объем
<1%
12°C
$15 Объем
<1%
13°C
$15 Объем
<1%
14°C или выше
$15 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center project a nighttime low near 8°C in Moscow on September 12 under partly cloudy conditions, westerly winds of 6-11 m/s, and stable pressure around 748-749 mmHg. This aligns closely with the 1991-2020 climatological average low of 8.6°C for the date. Market-implied odds split evenly between 8°C and 9°C because ensemble models show minor divergences in radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, with some runs favoring slightly warmer minima near 9-10°C. Lower probabilities for 7°C or below reflect limited potential for stronger cold advection or clear-sky radiational cooling on this date. Updated model runs and official observations will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Объем
$314Дата окончания
12 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center project a nighttime low near 8°C in Moscow on September 12 under partly cloudy conditions, westerly winds of 6-11 m/s, and stable pressure around 748-749 mmHg. This aligns closely with the 1991-2020 climatological average low of 8.6°C for the date. Market-implied odds split evenly between 8°C and 9°C because ensemble models show minor divergences in radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, with some runs favoring slightly warmer minima near 9-10°C. Lower probabilities for 7°C or below reflect limited potential for stronger cold advection or clear-sky radiational cooling on this date. Updated model runs and official observations will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$314Дата окончания
12 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center project a nighttime low near 8°C in Moscow on September 12 under partly cloudy conditions, westerly winds of 6-11 m/s, and stable pressure around 748-749 mmHg. This aligns closely with the 1991-2020 climatological average low of 8.6°C for the date. Market-implied odds split evenly between 8°C and 9°C because ensemble models show minor divergences in radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, with some runs favoring slightly warmer minima near 9-10°C. Lower probabilities for 7°C or below reflect limited potential for stronger cold advection or clear-sky radiational cooling on this date. Updated model runs and official observations will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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