Recent meteorological observations and model consensus from sources such as GFS and ECMWF show Istanbul reaching a daily maximum of 23°C on September 15 under mostly cloudy skies with moderate northeast winds. This aligns with the strong market-implied probability for that exact threshold, reflecting real-time surface data from official stations and the limited remaining hours in the local calendar day. September climatology typically features slightly higher averages near 25°C, but persistent cooler advection has kept readings suppressed. A final station verification could allow a 1°C adjustment, though current trends and timing make meaningful deviation improbable before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Стамбуле 15 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Стамбуле 15 сентября?
23°C 100.0%
18°C или ниже <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$23,252 Объем
$23,252 Объем
15 сент. 2026 г.
18°C или ниже
Нет
19°C
Нет
20°C
Нет
21°C
Нет
22°C
Нет
23°C
Да
24°C
Нет
25°C
Нет
26°C
Нет
27°C
Нет
28°C или выше
Нет
23°C 100.0%
18°C или ниже <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$23,252 Объем
$23,252 Объем
15 сент. 2026 г.
18°C или ниже
$1,312 Объем
Нет
19°C
$1,345 Объем
Нет
20°C
$681 Объем
Нет
21°C
$2,517 Объем
Нет
22°C
$6,240 Объем
Нет
23°C
$5,331 Объем
Да
24°C
$3,678 Объем
Нет
25°C
$1,015 Объем
Нет
26°C
$470 Объем
Нет
27°C
$506 Объем
Нет
28°C или выше
$157 Объем
Нет
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological observations and model consensus from sources such as GFS and ECMWF show Istanbul reaching a daily maximum of 23°C on September 15 under mostly cloudy skies with moderate northeast winds. This aligns with the strong market-implied probability for that exact threshold, reflecting real-time surface data from official stations and the limited remaining hours in the local calendar day. September climatology typically features slightly higher averages near 25°C, but persistent cooler advection has kept readings suppressed. A final station verification could allow a 1°C adjustment, though current trends and timing make meaningful deviation improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ET
Объем
$23,252Дата окончания
15 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological observations and model consensus from sources such as GFS and ECMWF show Istanbul reaching a daily maximum of 23°C on September 15 under mostly cloudy skies with moderate northeast winds. This aligns with the strong market-implied probability for that exact threshold, reflecting real-time surface data from official stations and the limited remaining hours in the local calendar day. September climatology typically features slightly higher averages near 25°C, but persistent cooler advection has kept readings suppressed. A final station verification could allow a 1°C adjustment, though current trends and timing make meaningful deviation improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$23,252Дата окончания
15 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
Recent meteorological observations and model consensus from sources such as GFS and ECMWF show Istanbul reaching a daily maximum of 23°C on September 15 under mostly cloudy skies with moderate northeast winds. This aligns with the strong market-implied probability for that exact threshold, reflecting real-time surface data from official stations and the limited remaining hours in the local calendar day. September climatology typically features slightly higher averages near 25°C, but persistent cooler advection has kept readings suppressed. A final station verification could allow a 1°C adjustment, though current trends and timing make meaningful deviation improbable before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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