Recent model consensus from sources like GFS and ECMWF indicates a stable northeasterly flow and high pressure over Istanbul, supporting overnight radiative cooling to lows near 17–19°C on September 16 under partly cloudy to overcast skies with light precipitation risk. This setup favors the 17–19°C range over extremes, as persistent cloud cover and moderate humidity limit further cooling below 15°C while preventing spikes above 22°C. Differentiating factors include wind speed variations that enhance or suppress boundary-layer mixing and any late-day frontal approach that could alter minimum thresholds. Updated short-range forecasts and local observations will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Стамбуле 16 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Стамбуле 16 сентября?
13°C или ниже 85%
23°C или выше 85%
21°C 40%
22°C 40%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
16 сент. 2026 г.
13°C или ниже
85%
14°C
18%
15°C
19%
16°C
19%
17°C
22%
18°C
22%
19°C
22%
20°C
22%
21°C
40%
22°C
40%
23°C или выше
85%
13°C или ниже 85%
23°C или выше 85%
21°C 40%
22°C 40%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
16 сент. 2026 г.
13°C или ниже
$0 Объем
85%
14°C
$0 Объем
18%
15°C
$0 Объем
19%
16°C
$0 Объем
19%
17°C
$0 Объем
22%
18°C
$0 Объем
22%
19°C
$0 Объем
22%
20°C
$0 Объем
22%
21°C
$0 Объем
40%
22°C
$0 Объем
40%
23°C или выше
$0 Объем
85%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like GFS and ECMWF indicates a stable northeasterly flow and high pressure over Istanbul, supporting overnight radiative cooling to lows near 17–19°C on September 16 under partly cloudy to overcast skies with light precipitation risk. This setup favors the 17–19°C range over extremes, as persistent cloud cover and moderate humidity limit further cooling below 15°C while preventing spikes above 22°C. Differentiating factors include wind speed variations that enhance or suppress boundary-layer mixing and any late-day frontal approach that could alter minimum thresholds. Updated short-range forecasts and local observations will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Объем
$0Дата окончания
16 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like GFS and ECMWF indicates a stable northeasterly flow and high pressure over Istanbul, supporting overnight radiative cooling to lows near 17–19°C on September 16 under partly cloudy to overcast skies with light precipitation risk. This setup favors the 17–19°C range over extremes, as persistent cloud cover and moderate humidity limit further cooling below 15°C while preventing spikes above 22°C. Differentiating factors include wind speed variations that enhance or suppress boundary-layer mixing and any late-day frontal approach that could alter minimum thresholds. Updated short-range forecasts and local observations will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$0Дата окончания
16 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources like GFS and ECMWF indicates a stable northeasterly flow and high pressure over Istanbul, supporting overnight radiative cooling to lows near 17–19°C on September 16 under partly cloudy to overcast skies with light precipitation risk. This setup favors the 17–19°C range over extremes, as persistent cloud cover and moderate humidity limit further cooling below 15°C while preventing spikes above 22°C. Differentiating factors include wind speed variations that enhance or suppress boundary-layer mixing and any late-day frontal approach that could alter minimum thresholds. Updated short-range forecasts and local observations will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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