Recent Met Office and ensemble forecasts indicate a maximum of 19–20 °C for London on 16 September under moderate westerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and no significant warm advection. This consensus, aligned with climatological September averages near 19 °C, underpins the market’s strong weighting toward 20 °C (61 %) and 19 °C (24 %). A brief cooling trend after mid-September warmth and limited model spread on steering patterns reinforce the narrow probability band, while any late shift in the Atlantic ridge or increased cloud cover could trim the high by 1 °C. Updated Met Office guidance and high-resolution model runs tomorrow morning represent the next key data points for traders.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Лондоне 16 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Лондоне 16 сентября?
20°C 62%
19°C 24%
21°C 11%
18°C 5%
НОВОЕ
$18,495 Объем
НОВОЕ
$18,495 Объем
16 сент. 2026 г.
15°C или ниже
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
5%
19°C
24%
20°C
62%
21°C
11%
22°C
2%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C или выше
<1%
20°C 62%
19°C 24%
21°C 11%
18°C 5%
НОВОЕ
$18,495 Объем
НОВОЕ
$18,495 Объем
16 сент. 2026 г.
15°C или ниже
$795 Объем
<1%
16°C
$392 Объем
<1%
17°C
$596 Объем
1%
18°C
$1,753 Объем
5%
19°C
$3,360 Объем
24%
20°C
$6,334 Объем
62%
21°C
$2,588 Объем
11%
22°C
$858 Объем
2%
23°C
$593 Объем
<1%
24°C
$242 Объем
<1%
25°C или выше
$983 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ensemble forecasts indicate a maximum of 19–20 °C for London on 16 September under moderate westerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and no significant warm advection. This consensus, aligned with climatological September averages near 19 °C, underpins the market’s strong weighting toward 20 °C (61 %) and 19 °C (24 %). A brief cooling trend after mid-September warmth and limited model spread on steering patterns reinforce the narrow probability band, while any late shift in the Atlantic ridge or increased cloud cover could trim the high by 1 °C. Updated Met Office guidance and high-resolution model runs tomorrow morning represent the next key data points for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 14, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Объем
$18,495Дата окончания
16 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 14, 2026, 12:55 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ensemble forecasts indicate a maximum of 19–20 °C for London on 16 September under moderate westerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and no significant warm advection. This consensus, aligned with climatological September averages near 19 °C, underpins the market’s strong weighting toward 20 °C (61 %) and 19 °C (24 %). A brief cooling trend after mid-September warmth and limited model spread on steering patterns reinforce the narrow probability band, while any late shift in the Atlantic ridge or increased cloud cover could trim the high by 1 °C. Updated Met Office guidance and high-resolution model runs tomorrow morning represent the next key data points for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$18,495Дата окончания
16 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 14, 2026, 12:55 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office and ensemble forecasts indicate a maximum of 19–20 °C for London on 16 September under moderate westerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and no significant warm advection. This consensus, aligned with climatological September averages near 19 °C, underpins the market’s strong weighting toward 20 °C (61 %) and 19 °C (24 %). A brief cooling trend after mid-September warmth and limited model spread on steering patterns reinforce the narrow probability band, while any late shift in the Atlantic ridge or increased cloud cover could trim the high by 1 °C. Updated Met Office guidance and high-resolution model runs tomorrow morning represent the next key data points for traders.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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