Northeast monsoon influences are moderating temperatures across Hong Kong on September 9, with the Hong Kong Observatory forecasting a daily maximum of 26–31°C under partly cloudy skies and light easterly winds. This aligns with the market's overwhelming 98.5% implied probability on 32°C, reflecting trader expectations that actual observations will reach or slightly exceed the upper forecast bound, consistent with recent district readings near 31–32°C and typical early-September climatology. Model consensus shows limited variability, though localized shower development or minor steering changes could cap the high at 31°C or below, introducing the main uncertainty for resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Гонконге 9 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Гонконге 9 сентября?
32°C 99.5%
33°C 1.6%
25°C или ниже <1%
26°C <1%
$127,497 Объем
$127,497 Объем
9 сент. 2026 г.
25°C или ниже
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C
2%
34°C
<1%
35°C или выше
<1%
32°C 99.5%
33°C 1.6%
25°C или ниже <1%
26°C <1%
$127,497 Объем
$127,497 Объем
9 сент. 2026 г.
25°C или ниже
$21,405 Объем
<1%
26°C
$333 Объем
<1%
27°C
$401 Объем
<1%
28°C
$5,854 Объем
<1%
29°C
$29,248 Объем
<1%
30°C
$18,396 Объем
<1%
31°C
$15,445 Объем
<1%
32°C
$20,702 Объем
100%
33°C
$13,307 Объем
2%
34°C
$2,185 Объем
<1%
35°C или выше
$223 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Northeast monsoon influences are moderating temperatures across Hong Kong on September 9, with the Hong Kong Observatory forecasting a daily maximum of 26–31°C under partly cloudy skies and light easterly winds. This aligns with the market's overwhelming 98.5% implied probability on 32°C, reflecting trader expectations that actual observations will reach or slightly exceed the upper forecast bound, consistent with recent district readings near 31–32°C and typical early-September climatology. Model consensus shows limited variability, though localized shower development or minor steering changes could cap the high at 31°C or below, introducing the main uncertainty for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Объем
$127,497Дата окончания
9 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Northeast monsoon influences are moderating temperatures across Hong Kong on September 9, with the Hong Kong Observatory forecasting a daily maximum of 26–31°C under partly cloudy skies and light easterly winds. This aligns with the market's overwhelming 98.5% implied probability on 32°C, reflecting trader expectations that actual observations will reach or slightly exceed the upper forecast bound, consistent with recent district readings near 31–32°C and typical early-September climatology. Model consensus shows limited variability, though localized shower development or minor steering changes could cap the high at 31°C or below, introducing the main uncertainty for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$127,497Дата окончания
9 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Northeast monsoon influences are moderating temperatures across Hong Kong on September 9, with the Hong Kong Observatory forecasting a daily maximum of 26–31°C under partly cloudy skies and light easterly winds. This aligns with the market's overwhelming 98.5% implied probability on 32°C, reflecting trader expectations that actual observations will reach or slightly exceed the upper forecast bound, consistent with recent district readings near 31–32°C and typical early-September climatology. Model consensus shows limited variability, though localized shower development or minor steering changes could cap the high at 31°C or below, introducing the main uncertainty for resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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