**Current forecasts from multiple sources, including the Japan Meteorological Agency and private models, indicate a minimum temperature in Tokyo on September 11 around 19–21°C under persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and northerly winds.** This transitional pattern follows hotter conditions earlier in the week, with a cooler air mass advecting southward behind a frontal boundary. The near-even market split between 14°C or below (49.5%) and 24°C or higher (49.0%) reflects model uncertainty in the exact strength of cold advection and the degree of radiational cooling overnight. A stronger-than-expected northerly flow or clearer breaks in the clouds could enhance nighttime cooling toward the lower end, while any delay in the frontal passage or retained moisture could keep the minimum elevated. Specific mid-range outcomes (e.g., 18–23°C) trade near 20% each because ensemble guidance clusters tightly around 20–21°C, consistent with climatological September minima near 21°C but adjusted for the active weather. Key upcoming factors include the next model runs and any revisions to wind or precipitation forecasts, which will sharpen the expected minimum before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Токио 11 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Токио 11 сентября?
24°C или выше 78%
14°C или ниже 76%
19°C 44%
20°C 40%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
11 сент. 2026 г.
14°C или ниже
76%
15°C
23%
16°C
24%
17°C
13%
18°C
21%
19°C
44%
20°C
40%
21°C
25%
22°C
25%
23°C
27%
24°C или выше
78%
24°C или выше 78%
14°C или ниже 76%
19°C 44%
20°C 40%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
11 сент. 2026 г.
14°C или ниже
$0 Объем
76%
15°C
$0 Объем
23%
16°C
$0 Объем
24%
17°C
$0 Объем
13%
18°C
$0 Объем
21%
19°C
$21 Объем
44%
20°C
$0 Объем
40%
21°C
$0 Объем
25%
22°C
$0 Объем
25%
23°C
$0 Объем
27%
24°C или выше
$0 Объем
78%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from multiple sources, including the Japan Meteorological Agency and private models, indicate a minimum temperature in Tokyo on September 11 around 19–21°C under persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and northerly winds.** This transitional pattern follows hotter conditions earlier in the week, with a cooler air mass advecting southward behind a frontal boundary.
The near-even market split between 14°C or below (49.5%) and 24°C or higher (49.0%) reflects model uncertainty in the exact strength of cold advection and the degree of radiational cooling overnight. A stronger-than-expected northerly flow or clearer breaks in the clouds could enhance nighttime cooling toward the lower end, while any delay in the frontal passage or retained moisture could keep the minimum elevated.
Specific mid-range outcomes (e.g., 18–23°C) trade near 20% each because ensemble guidance clusters tightly around 20–21°C, consistent with climatological September minima near 21°C but adjusted for the active weather. Key upcoming factors include the next model runs and any revisions to wind or precipitation forecasts, which will sharpen the expected minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Объем
$21Дата окончания
11 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from multiple sources, including the Japan Meteorological Agency and private models, indicate a minimum temperature in Tokyo on September 11 around 19–21°C under persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and northerly winds.** This transitional pattern follows hotter conditions earlier in the week, with a cooler air mass advecting southward behind a frontal boundary.
The near-even market split between 14°C or below (49.5%) and 24°C or higher (49.0%) reflects model uncertainty in the exact strength of cold advection and the degree of radiational cooling overnight. A stronger-than-expected northerly flow or clearer breaks in the clouds could enhance nighttime cooling toward the lower end, while any delay in the frontal passage or retained moisture could keep the minimum elevated.
Specific mid-range outcomes (e.g., 18–23°C) trade near 20% each because ensemble guidance clusters tightly around 20–21°C, consistent with climatological September minima near 21°C but adjusted for the active weather. Key upcoming factors include the next model runs and any revisions to wind or precipitation forecasts, which will sharpen the expected minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$21Дата окончания
11 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from multiple sources, including the Japan Meteorological Agency and private models, indicate a minimum temperature in Tokyo on September 11 around 19–21°C under persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and northerly winds.** This transitional pattern follows hotter conditions earlier in the week, with a cooler air mass advecting southward behind a frontal boundary. The near-even market split between 14°C or below (49.5%) and 24°C or higher (49.0%) reflects model uncertainty in the exact strength of cold advection and the degree of radiational cooling overnight. A stronger-than-expected northerly flow or clearer breaks in the clouds could enhance nighttime cooling toward the lower end, while any delay in the frontal passage or retained moisture could keep the minimum elevated. Specific mid-range outcomes (e.g., 18–23°C) trade near 20% each because ensemble guidance clusters tightly around 20–21°C, consistent with climatological September minima near 21°C but adjusted for the active weather. Key upcoming factors include the next model runs and any revisions to wind or precipitation forecasts, which will sharpen the expected minimum before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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