**Trader consensus heavily favors a 20°C low for Chengdu on September 9, 2026, reflecting model agreement on a mild overnight minimum amid widespread rain and cloud cover.** Persistent precipitation and high humidity from a moist air mass have limited radiative cooling, keeping temperatures from dropping sharply in this subtropical basin setting. Official guidance and ensemble forecasts point to lows clustering around 17–20°C, with 20°C aligning closely with the upper end of expected ranges given light winds and overcast skies. Historical September climatology shows typical overnight minima near 18–20°C, providing additional context for the positioning. Resolution hinges on the official daily minimum reported by Chinese meteorological authorities; any unexpected clearing overnight could allow a dip toward 17°C or below, though current conditions make that scenario less probable.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Чэнду 9 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Чэнду 9 сентября?
20°C 98%
19°C 20%
17°C 1.0%
18°C 1.0%
$1,644 Объем
$1,644 Объем
9 сент. 2026 г.
16°C или ниже
Нет
17°C
Нет
18°C
Нет
19°C
Нет
20°C
Да
21°C
Нет
22°C
Нет
23°C
Нет
24°C
Нет
25°C
Нет
26°C или выше
Нет
20°C 98%
19°C 20%
17°C 1.0%
18°C 1.0%
$1,644 Объем
$1,644 Объем
9 сент. 2026 г.
16°C или ниже
$328 Объем
Нет
17°C
$68 Объем
Нет
18°C
$25 Объем
Нет
19°C
$43 Объем
Нет
20°C
$105 Объем
Да
21°C
$70 Объем
Нет
22°C
$75 Объем
Нет
23°C
$145 Объем
Нет
24°C
$131 Объем
Нет
25°C
$409 Объем
Нет
26°C или выше
$245 Объем
Нет
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors a 20°C low for Chengdu on September 9, 2026, reflecting model agreement on a mild overnight minimum amid widespread rain and cloud cover.** Persistent precipitation and high humidity from a moist air mass have limited radiative cooling, keeping temperatures from dropping sharply in this subtropical basin setting. Official guidance and ensemble forecasts point to lows clustering around 17–20°C, with 20°C aligning closely with the upper end of expected ranges given light winds and overcast skies. Historical September climatology shows typical overnight minima near 18–20°C, providing additional context for the positioning. Resolution hinges on the official daily minimum reported by Chinese meteorological authorities; any unexpected clearing overnight could allow a dip toward 17°C or below, though current conditions make that scenario less probable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$1,644Дата окончания
9 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors a 20°C low for Chengdu on September 9, 2026, reflecting model agreement on a mild overnight minimum amid widespread rain and cloud cover.** Persistent precipitation and high humidity from a moist air mass have limited radiative cooling, keeping temperatures from dropping sharply in this subtropical basin setting. Official guidance and ensemble forecasts point to lows clustering around 17–20°C, with 20°C aligning closely with the upper end of expected ranges given light winds and overcast skies. Historical September climatology shows typical overnight minima near 18–20°C, providing additional context for the positioning. Resolution hinges on the official daily minimum reported by Chinese meteorological authorities; any unexpected clearing overnight could allow a dip toward 17°C or below, though current conditions make that scenario less probable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,644Дата окончания
9 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
**Trader consensus heavily favors a 20°C low for Chengdu on September 9, 2026, reflecting model agreement on a mild overnight minimum amid widespread rain and cloud cover.** Persistent precipitation and high humidity from a moist air mass have limited radiative cooling, keeping temperatures from dropping sharply in this subtropical basin setting. Official guidance and ensemble forecasts point to lows clustering around 17–20°C, with 20°C aligning closely with the upper end of expected ranges given light winds and overcast skies. Historical September climatology shows typical overnight minima near 18–20°C, providing additional context for the positioning. Resolution hinges on the official daily minimum reported by Chinese meteorological authorities; any unexpected clearing overnight could allow a dip toward 17°C or below, though current conditions make that scenario less probable.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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