Recent cooler air advection from a northern high-pressure system has driven down daytime maxima in the Seoul-Incheon region after several days near 27–31 °C, positioning official Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts and model consensus for September 10 around 23–25 °C under mostly cloudy skies and light easterly flow. This scientific setup—reduced solar heating from cloud cover combined with northerly temperature advection—explains why trader consensus clusters on 24 °C (45.5 %) and 23 °C (34.5 %) as the leading implied probabilities, with 25 °C a distant third. Resolution hinges on the verified daily maximum at the Incheon station; modest forecast uncertainty remains around afternoon clearing or localized wind shifts that could nudge the peak by 1 °C either way.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Сеуле (Инчхон) 10 сентября?
24°C 45%
23°C 35%
25°C 13%
22°C 7%
$40,822 Объем
$40,822 Объем
19°C или ниже
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
7%
23°C
35%
24°C
45%
25°C
13%
26°C
4%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C или выше
<1%
24°C 45%
23°C 35%
25°C 13%
22°C 7%
$40,822 Объем
$40,822 Объем
19°C или ниже
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
7%
23°C
35%
24°C
45%
25°C
13%
26°C
4%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent cooler air advection from a northern high-pressure system has driven down daytime maxima in the Seoul-Incheon region after several days near 27–31 °C, positioning official Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts and model consensus for September 10 around 23–25 °C under mostly cloudy skies and light easterly flow. This scientific setup—reduced solar heating from cloud cover combined with northerly temperature advection—explains why trader consensus clusters on 24 °C (45.5 %) and 23 °C (34.5 %) as the leading implied probabilities, with 25 °C a distant third. Resolution hinges on the verified daily maximum at the Incheon station; modest forecast uncertainty remains around afternoon clearing or localized wind shifts that could nudge the peak by 1 °C either way.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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