Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a frontal boundary crossing the Chicago area on September 9, 2026, with showers and thunderstorms expected through midday that will increase cloud cover and reduce solar heating. This setup, following an unusually warm early-September period with highs in the mid-90s, favors a moderated daily maximum near 78–82 °F. Key variables differentiating the closely matched market bins include the precise timing of convective initiation, the strength of any lake-breeze front off Lake Michigan, and how much afternoon clearing occurs after the main rain shield passes. Official forecasts currently cluster in the lower 80s inland but note lower values near the lake, while historical September 9 normals sit at 78–79 °F; traders appear to weigh these factors heavily ahead of the final NWS verification.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Чикаго 9 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Чикаго 9 сентября?
80-81°F 32%
78-79°F 29%
82-83°F 16%
76-77°F 12%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
9 сент. 2026 г.
75°F или ниже
4%
76-77°F
12%
78-79°F
29%
80-81°F
32%
82-83°F
16%
84-85°F
5%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F или выше
<1%
80-81°F 32%
78-79°F 29%
82-83°F 16%
76-77°F 12%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
9 сент. 2026 г.
75°F или ниже
$82 Объем
4%
76-77°F
$173 Объем
12%
78-79°F
$349 Объем
29%
80-81°F
$480 Объем
32%
82-83°F
$159 Объем
16%
84-85°F
$142 Объем
5%
86-87°F
$253 Объем
2%
88-89°F
$97 Объем
1%
90-91°F
$211 Объем
<1%
92-93°F
$315 Объем
<1%
94°F или выше
$198 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a frontal boundary crossing the Chicago area on September 9, 2026, with showers and thunderstorms expected through midday that will increase cloud cover and reduce solar heating. This setup, following an unusually warm early-September period with highs in the mid-90s, favors a moderated daily maximum near 78–82 °F. Key variables differentiating the closely matched market bins include the precise timing of convective initiation, the strength of any lake-breeze front off Lake Michigan, and how much afternoon clearing occurs after the main rain shield passes. Official forecasts currently cluster in the lower 80s inland but note lower values near the lake, while historical September 9 normals sit at 78–79 °F; traders appear to weigh these factors heavily ahead of the final NWS verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 7, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Объем
$2,460Дата окончания
9 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 7, 2026, 3:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a frontal boundary crossing the Chicago area on September 9, 2026, with showers and thunderstorms expected through midday that will increase cloud cover and reduce solar heating. This setup, following an unusually warm early-September period with highs in the mid-90s, favors a moderated daily maximum near 78–82 °F. Key variables differentiating the closely matched market bins include the precise timing of convective initiation, the strength of any lake-breeze front off Lake Michigan, and how much afternoon clearing occurs after the main rain shield passes. Official forecasts currently cluster in the lower 80s inland but note lower values near the lake, while historical September 9 normals sit at 78–79 °F; traders appear to weigh these factors heavily ahead of the final NWS verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$2,460Дата окончания
9 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 7, 2026, 3:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a frontal boundary crossing the Chicago area on September 9, 2026, with showers and thunderstorms expected through midday that will increase cloud cover and reduce solar heating. This setup, following an unusually warm early-September period with highs in the mid-90s, favors a moderated daily maximum near 78–82 °F. Key variables differentiating the closely matched market bins include the precise timing of convective initiation, the strength of any lake-breeze front off Lake Michigan, and how much afternoon clearing occurs after the main rain shield passes. Official forecasts currently cluster in the lower 80s inland but note lower values near the lake, while historical September 9 normals sit at 78–79 °F; traders appear to weigh these factors heavily ahead of the final NWS verification.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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