Trader consensus centers on 29–31°C for Manila’s September 10 maximum, reflecting ensemble forecasts from regional models that place the city under typical late-southwest-monsoon conditions with moderate cloud cover and scattered afternoon showers. These factors limit daytime heating while preventing strong suppression of temperatures below seasonal norms. Minor spreads among leading outcomes arise from small differences in projected wind patterns and timing of convective activity, which can shift peak readings by 1–2°C. Historical September averages near 30–31°C provide context, yet current guidance shows no major tropical systems or anomalous subsidence that would push extremes. Updated model runs and official PAGASA briefings expected overnight remain the next key inputs for refining probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Маниле 10 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Маниле 10 сентября?
30°C 34%
29°C 26%
31°C 16%
28°C 13%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
10 сент. 2026 г.
24°C или ниже
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
4%
28°C
13%
29°C
26%
30°C
34%
31°C
16%
32°C
3%
33°C
1%
34°C или выше
<1%
30°C 34%
29°C 26%
31°C 16%
28°C 13%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
10 сент. 2026 г.
24°C или ниже
$566 Объем
<1%
25°C
$204 Объем
1%
26°C
$392 Объем
2%
27°C
$175 Объем
4%
28°C
$1,787 Объем
13%
29°C
$2,370 Объем
26%
30°C
$575 Объем
34%
31°C
$2,033 Объем
16%
32°C
$424 Объем
3%
33°C
$143 Объем
1%
34°C или выше
$200 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus centers on 29–31°C for Manila’s September 10 maximum, reflecting ensemble forecasts from regional models that place the city under typical late-southwest-monsoon conditions with moderate cloud cover and scattered afternoon showers. These factors limit daytime heating while preventing strong suppression of temperatures below seasonal norms. Minor spreads among leading outcomes arise from small differences in projected wind patterns and timing of convective activity, which can shift peak readings by 1–2°C. Historical September averages near 30–31°C provide context, yet current guidance shows no major tropical systems or anomalous subsidence that would push extremes. Updated model runs and official PAGASA briefings expected overnight remain the next key inputs for refining probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 8, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Объем
$8,869Дата окончания
10 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 8, 2026, 12:58 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus centers on 29–31°C for Manila’s September 10 maximum, reflecting ensemble forecasts from regional models that place the city under typical late-southwest-monsoon conditions with moderate cloud cover and scattered afternoon showers. These factors limit daytime heating while preventing strong suppression of temperatures below seasonal norms. Minor spreads among leading outcomes arise from small differences in projected wind patterns and timing of convective activity, which can shift peak readings by 1–2°C. Historical September averages near 30–31°C provide context, yet current guidance shows no major tropical systems or anomalous subsidence that would push extremes. Updated model runs and official PAGASA briefings expected overnight remain the next key inputs for refining probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$8,869Дата окончания
10 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 8, 2026, 12:58 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus centers on 29–31°C for Manila’s September 10 maximum, reflecting ensemble forecasts from regional models that place the city under typical late-southwest-monsoon conditions with moderate cloud cover and scattered afternoon showers. These factors limit daytime heating while preventing strong suppression of temperatures below seasonal norms. Minor spreads among leading outcomes arise from small differences in projected wind patterns and timing of convective activity, which can shift peak readings by 1–2°C. Historical September averages near 30–31°C provide context, yet current guidance shows no major tropical systems or anomalous subsidence that would push extremes. Updated model runs and official PAGASA briefings expected overnight remain the next key inputs for refining probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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