The southwest monsoon, or habagat, remains the dominant driver of trader sentiment for Manila's September 9 high temperature, with ongoing scattered thunderstorms and heavy rainfall expected to limit daytime heating. Official PAGASA guidance and short-range models consistently point to cloud cover and precipitation timing as key variables, keeping maxima clustered near 28–30°C amid high humidity near 90% and southwesterly winds of 5–9 m/s. Recent monsoon surges have already suppressed peaks to 27–28°C in the prior 48 hours, while any localized clearing could allow brief warming toward 31°C. El Niño background conditions favor slightly elevated baselines but are currently overridden by dynamic monsoon moisture. Traders await updated PAGASA briefings and model runs through September 8 for refinements on storm timing and intensity.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Маниле 9 сентября?
29°C 33%
30°C 24%
28°C 22%
27°C 11%
23°C или ниже
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
4%
26°C
4%
27°C
11%
28°C
22%
29°C
33%
30°C
24%
31°C
8%
32°C
2%
33°C или выше
1%
29°C 33%
30°C 24%
28°C 22%
27°C 11%
23°C или ниже
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
4%
26°C
4%
27°C
11%
28°C
22%
29°C
33%
30°C
24%
31°C
8%
32°C
2%
33°C или выше
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The southwest monsoon, or habagat, remains the dominant driver of trader sentiment for Manila's September 9 high temperature, with ongoing scattered thunderstorms and heavy rainfall expected to limit daytime heating. Official PAGASA guidance and short-range models consistently point to cloud cover and precipitation timing as key variables, keeping maxima clustered near 28–30°C amid high humidity near 90% and southwesterly winds of 5–9 m/s. Recent monsoon surges have already suppressed peaks to 27–28°C in the prior 48 hours, while any localized clearing could allow brief warming toward 31°C. El Niño background conditions favor slightly elevated baselines but are currently overridden by dynamic monsoon moisture. Traders await updated PAGASA briefings and model runs through September 8 for refinements on storm timing and intensity.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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