Recent forecasts from European and Russian meteorological models show a cool northwest airflow settling over Moscow, with daytime maxima projected between 11–13°C amid periods of rain and persistent cloud cover on September 7. This marks a sharp drop from early-September readings near 20°C and aligns closely with the market’s near-even distribution across those three outcomes. Model consensus on steering patterns and minimal diurnal recovery under overcast skies supports the tight clustering, while small timing differences in frontal passage or brief clearing introduce the modest probability mass at 15°C and below 11°C. Updated runs from the Hydrometeorological Center and ECMWF on September 6 will provide the final observational constraints before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Москве 7 сентября?
12°C 34%
13°C 28%
11°C 27%
15°C 17%
6°C или ниже
4%
7°C
4%
8°C
2%
9°C
5%
10°C
5%
11°C
27%
12°C
34%
13°C
28%
14°C
6%
15°C
17%
16°C или выше
4%
12°C 34%
13°C 28%
11°C 27%
15°C 17%
6°C или ниже
4%
7°C
4%
8°C
2%
9°C
5%
10°C
5%
11°C
27%
12°C
34%
13°C
28%
14°C
6%
15°C
17%
16°C или выше
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 5, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from European and Russian meteorological models show a cool northwest airflow settling over Moscow, with daytime maxima projected between 11–13°C amid periods of rain and persistent cloud cover on September 7. This marks a sharp drop from early-September readings near 20°C and aligns closely with the market’s near-even distribution across those three outcomes. Model consensus on steering patterns and minimal diurnal recovery under overcast skies supports the tight clustering, while small timing differences in frontal passage or brief clearing introduce the modest probability mass at 15°C and below 11°C. Updated runs from the Hydrometeorological Center and ECMWF on September 6 will provide the final observational constraints before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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