Current ensemble forecasts for Wuhan on September 7 point to a peak temperature of 32–33°C under partly cloudy skies with light easterly or southeasterly winds and minimal precipitation. Global models show stable subtropical high pressure maintaining above-average warmth for early September, with daytime heating supported by clear intervals and moderate humidity levels near 50%. Minor differences in simulated cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing explain the close market-implied odds between 32°C and 34°C, as even modest increases in afternoon insolation or reduced mixing could add 1–2°C. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will narrow resolution criteria around the observed daily maximum.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Ухане 7 сентября?
34°C 25%
33°C 24%
32°C 20%
30°C 9%
28°C или ниже
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
9%
31°C
8%
32°C
20%
33°C
24%
34°C
25%
35°C
11%
36°C
3%
37°C
3%
38°C или выше
3%
34°C 25%
33°C 24%
32°C 20%
30°C 9%
28°C или ниже
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
9%
31°C
8%
32°C
20%
33°C
24%
34°C
25%
35°C
11%
36°C
3%
37°C
3%
38°C или выше
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 5, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts for Wuhan on September 7 point to a peak temperature of 32–33°C under partly cloudy skies with light easterly or southeasterly winds and minimal precipitation. Global models show stable subtropical high pressure maintaining above-average warmth for early September, with daytime heating supported by clear intervals and moderate humidity levels near 50%. Minor differences in simulated cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing explain the close market-implied odds between 32°C and 34°C, as even modest increases in afternoon insolation or reduced mixing could add 1–2°C. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will narrow resolution criteria around the observed daily maximum.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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