Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological agencies indicate a minimum temperature for Wuhan on September 7 in the low 20s°C range under mostly cloudy to clearing conditions, consistent with early September climatology in the Yangtze River valley. Nighttime radiative cooling rates will depend on cloud cover, humidity levels near 50-70%, and light variable winds, which limit strong temperature drops. The dispersed market probabilities around 20-21°C and lower thresholds reflect uncertainty in model runs this far ahead, where small shifts in frontal positioning or precipitation timing could alter the overnight low by 2-3°C. Historical analogs show typical September minima near 20-22°C, supporting the current trader focus on that band amid stable warm high-pressure influence.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Ухане 7 сентября?
17°C или ниже 69%
27°C или выше 59%
18°C 49%
19°C 49%
17°C или ниже
69%
18°C
49%
19°C
49%
20°C
30%
21°C
34%
22°C
26%
23°C
49%
24°C
49%
25°C
21%
26°C
2%
27°C или выше
59%
17°C или ниже 69%
27°C или выше 59%
18°C 49%
19°C 49%
17°C или ниже
69%
18°C
49%
19°C
49%
20°C
30%
21°C
34%
22°C
26%
23°C
49%
24°C
49%
25°C
21%
26°C
2%
27°C или выше
59%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological agencies indicate a minimum temperature for Wuhan on September 7 in the low 20s°C range under mostly cloudy to clearing conditions, consistent with early September climatology in the Yangtze River valley. Nighttime radiative cooling rates will depend on cloud cover, humidity levels near 50-70%, and light variable winds, which limit strong temperature drops. The dispersed market probabilities around 20-21°C and lower thresholds reflect uncertainty in model runs this far ahead, where small shifts in frontal positioning or precipitation timing could alter the overnight low by 2-3°C. Historical analogs show typical September minima near 20-22°C, supporting the current trader focus on that band amid stable warm high-pressure influence.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы