Recent forecasts from AEMET and supporting models indicate partly cloudy skies with northeast winds of 4–6 m/s and morning showers giving way to clearing conditions, limiting peak heating and positioning 27°C as the leading outcome with 59.5% implied probability. This aligns with the seasonal average high of 28°C for September 9 while reflecting a modest cooldown from earlier warm anomalies driven by reduced insolation and advection of cooler maritime air. Model consensus shows low risk of exceeding 28°C absent stronger subsidence or clearer skies, with 26°C holding secondary support at 11% amid ongoing variability in boundary-layer mixing. Updated observations through the afternoon will refine these market-implied odds ahead of final daily resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Мадриде 9 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Мадриде 9 сентября?
27°C 71%
28°C 19%
26°C 10%
29°C 4%
$30,670 Объем
$30,670 Объем
9 сент. 2026 г.
24°C или ниже
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
10%
27°C
71%
28°C
19%
29°C
4%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C или выше
<1%
27°C 71%
28°C 19%
26°C 10%
29°C 4%
$30,670 Объем
$30,670 Объем
9 сент. 2026 г.
24°C или ниже
$1,271 Объем
<1%
25°C
$2,456 Объем
<1%
26°C
$5,122 Объем
10%
27°C
$7,077 Объем
71%
28°C
$5,827 Объем
19%
29°C
$2,850 Объем
4%
30°C
$2,496 Объем
1%
31°C
$980 Объем
<1%
32°C
$1,281 Объем
<1%
33°C
$796 Объем
<1%
34°C или выше
$514 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from AEMET and supporting models indicate partly cloudy skies with northeast winds of 4–6 m/s and morning showers giving way to clearing conditions, limiting peak heating and positioning 27°C as the leading outcome with 59.5% implied probability. This aligns with the seasonal average high of 28°C for September 9 while reflecting a modest cooldown from earlier warm anomalies driven by reduced insolation and advection of cooler maritime air. Model consensus shows low risk of exceeding 28°C absent stronger subsidence or clearer skies, with 26°C holding secondary support at 11% amid ongoing variability in boundary-layer mixing. Updated observations through the afternoon will refine these market-implied odds ahead of final daily resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Объем
$30,670Дата окончания
9 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from AEMET and supporting models indicate partly cloudy skies with northeast winds of 4–6 m/s and morning showers giving way to clearing conditions, limiting peak heating and positioning 27°C as the leading outcome with 59.5% implied probability. This aligns with the seasonal average high of 28°C for September 9 while reflecting a modest cooldown from earlier warm anomalies driven by reduced insolation and advection of cooler maritime air. Model consensus shows low risk of exceeding 28°C absent stronger subsidence or clearer skies, with 26°C holding secondary support at 11% amid ongoing variability in boundary-layer mixing. Updated observations through the afternoon will refine these market-implied odds ahead of final daily resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$30,670Дата окончания
9 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from AEMET and supporting models indicate partly cloudy skies with northeast winds of 4–6 m/s and morning showers giving way to clearing conditions, limiting peak heating and positioning 27°C as the leading outcome with 59.5% implied probability. This aligns with the seasonal average high of 28°C for September 9 while reflecting a modest cooldown from earlier warm anomalies driven by reduced insolation and advection of cooler maritime air. Model consensus shows low risk of exceeding 28°C absent stronger subsidence or clearer skies, with 26°C holding secondary support at 11% amid ongoing variability in boundary-layer mixing. Updated observations through the afternoon will refine these market-implied odds ahead of final daily resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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