Official temperature observations from Chicago-area stations, including those aligned with National Weather Service and NOAA reporting, recorded an overnight low of 60-61°F on September 11, 2026, establishing the dominant market consensus at 97.5% implied probability. Mild conditions under persistent high pressure, light winds, and limited cloud cover prevented further radiational cooling below this threshold, consistent with climatological averages near 60.7°F for the date and recent model guidance. Trader positioning reflects high confidence in these verified measurements over preliminary forecasts. Resolution could shift only if official post-event verification adjusts the exact minimum or applies a different station criterion, though such revisions remain uncommon for daily temperature markets.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Чикаго 11 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Чикаго 11 сентября?
51°F или ниже 98%
60-61°F 98%
58-59°F 63%
52-53°F 18.8%
$248 Объем
$248 Объем
11 сент. 2026 г.
51°F или ниже
98%
52-53°F
19%
54-55°F
14%
56-57°F
17%
58-59°F
63%
60-61°F
98%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70°F или выше
<1%
51°F или ниже 98%
60-61°F 98%
58-59°F 63%
52-53°F 18.8%
$248 Объем
$248 Объем
11 сент. 2026 г.
51°F или ниже
$0 Объем
98%
52-53°F
$35 Объем
19%
54-55°F
$15 Объем
14%
56-57°F
$15 Объем
17%
58-59°F
$20 Объем
63%
60-61°F
$1 Объем
98%
62-63°F
$30 Объем
<1%
64-65°F
$50 Объем
<1%
66-67°F
$37 Объем
<1%
68-69°F
$5 Объем
<1%
70°F или выше
$40 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official temperature observations from Chicago-area stations, including those aligned with National Weather Service and NOAA reporting, recorded an overnight low of 60-61°F on September 11, 2026, establishing the dominant market consensus at 97.5% implied probability. Mild conditions under persistent high pressure, light winds, and limited cloud cover prevented further radiational cooling below this threshold, consistent with climatological averages near 60.7°F for the date and recent model guidance. Trader positioning reflects high confidence in these verified measurements over preliminary forecasts. Resolution could shift only if official post-event verification adjusts the exact minimum or applies a different station criterion, though such revisions remain uncommon for daily temperature markets.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 9, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Объем
$248Дата окончания
11 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 9, 2026, 3:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official temperature observations from Chicago-area stations, including those aligned with National Weather Service and NOAA reporting, recorded an overnight low of 60-61°F on September 11, 2026, establishing the dominant market consensus at 97.5% implied probability. Mild conditions under persistent high pressure, light winds, and limited cloud cover prevented further radiational cooling below this threshold, consistent with climatological averages near 60.7°F for the date and recent model guidance. Trader positioning reflects high confidence in these verified measurements over preliminary forecasts. Resolution could shift only if official post-event verification adjusts the exact minimum or applies a different station criterion, though such revisions remain uncommon for daily temperature markets.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$248Дата окончания
11 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 9, 2026, 3:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Official temperature observations from Chicago-area stations, including those aligned with National Weather Service and NOAA reporting, recorded an overnight low of 60-61°F on September 11, 2026, establishing the dominant market consensus at 97.5% implied probability. Mild conditions under persistent high pressure, light winds, and limited cloud cover prevented further radiational cooling below this threshold, consistent with climatological averages near 60.7°F for the date and recent model guidance. Trader positioning reflects high confidence in these verified measurements over preliminary forecasts. Resolution could shift only if official post-event verification adjusts the exact minimum or applies a different station criterion, though such revisions remain uncommon for daily temperature markets.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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