Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance point to a northwest wind shift behind a weak frontal passage, favoring overnight lows in the mid-to-upper 50s°F for Chicago on September 13, with limited radiative cooling from increasing clouds and a 30-40% shower chance. This setup aligns closely with the 1991-2020 climatological average low near 60°F yet leaves room for variance depending on exact timing of clearing and sustained wind speeds above 5-10 mph, which reduce the potential for sharper drops. Trader-implied odds reflect this narrow range of outcomes, with no single bin dominating amid typical late-summer forecast spread from differing model solutions for boundary-layer mixing and moisture. Updated NWS briefings and next model runs will likely refine the minimum temperature threshold ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Чикаго 13 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Чикаго 13 сентября?
53°F или ниже 93%
72°F или выше 60%
54-55°F 39%
56-57°F 39%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
13 сент. 2026 г.
53°F или ниже
93%
54-55°F
39%
56-57°F
39%
58-59°F
27%
60-61°F
33%
62-63°F
22%
64-65°F
39%
66-67°F
17%
68-69°F
13%
70–71°F
13%
72°F или выше
60%
53°F или ниже 93%
72°F или выше 60%
54-55°F 39%
56-57°F 39%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
13 сент. 2026 г.
53°F или ниже
$0 Объем
93%
54-55°F
$0 Объем
39%
56-57°F
$0 Объем
39%
58-59°F
$0 Объем
27%
60-61°F
$0 Объем
33%
62-63°F
$0 Объем
22%
64-65°F
$0 Объем
39%
66-67°F
$0 Объем
17%
68-69°F
$0 Объем
13%
70–71°F
$0 Объем
13%
72°F или выше
$0 Объем
60%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance point to a northwest wind shift behind a weak frontal passage, favoring overnight lows in the mid-to-upper 50s°F for Chicago on September 13, with limited radiative cooling from increasing clouds and a 30-40% shower chance. This setup aligns closely with the 1991-2020 climatological average low near 60°F yet leaves room for variance depending on exact timing of clearing and sustained wind speeds above 5-10 mph, which reduce the potential for sharper drops. Trader-implied odds reflect this narrow range of outcomes, with no single bin dominating amid typical late-summer forecast spread from differing model solutions for boundary-layer mixing and moisture. Updated NWS briefings and next model runs will likely refine the minimum temperature threshold ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 11, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Объем
$0Дата окончания
13 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 11, 2026, 3:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance point to a northwest wind shift behind a weak frontal passage, favoring overnight lows in the mid-to-upper 50s°F for Chicago on September 13, with limited radiative cooling from increasing clouds and a 30-40% shower chance. This setup aligns closely with the 1991-2020 climatological average low near 60°F yet leaves room for variance depending on exact timing of clearing and sustained wind speeds above 5-10 mph, which reduce the potential for sharper drops. Trader-implied odds reflect this narrow range of outcomes, with no single bin dominating amid typical late-summer forecast spread from differing model solutions for boundary-layer mixing and moisture. Updated NWS briefings and next model runs will likely refine the minimum temperature threshold ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$0Дата окончания
13 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 11, 2026, 3:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance point to a northwest wind shift behind a weak frontal passage, favoring overnight lows in the mid-to-upper 50s°F for Chicago on September 13, with limited radiative cooling from increasing clouds and a 30-40% shower chance. This setup aligns closely with the 1991-2020 climatological average low near 60°F yet leaves room for variance depending on exact timing of clearing and sustained wind speeds above 5-10 mph, which reduce the potential for sharper drops. Trader-implied odds reflect this narrow range of outcomes, with no single bin dominating amid typical late-summer forecast spread from differing model solutions for boundary-layer mixing and moisture. Updated NWS briefings and next model runs will likely refine the minimum temperature threshold ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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