Recent model consensus from sources like the GFS and ECMWF points to a cooler-than-average day in Amsterdam on September 9, with showers and northwest winds limiting daytime heating to support the market's tight clustering around 18°C (45.0% implied probability) over 19°C (35.5%). Persistent cloud cover, precipitation chances near 45-70%, and a shift from southerly to westerly flow are suppressing maximum temperatures below the early-September climatological normal of roughly 19-20°C. Ensemble spreads in timing and intensity of showers introduce the main uncertainty between these two leading outcomes, while lower probabilities for 17°C or 20°C reflect tail risks from forecast revisions ahead of final NHC-style updates.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Амстердаме 9 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Амстердаме 9 сентября?
18°C 45%
19°C 35%
17°C 9%
20°C 7%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
9 сент. 2026 г.
12°C или ниже
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
2%
15°C
2%
16°C
4%
17°C
9%
18°C
45%
19°C
35%
20°C
7%
21°C
2%
22°C или выше
1%
18°C 45%
19°C 35%
17°C 9%
20°C 7%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
9 сент. 2026 г.
12°C или ниже
$114 Объем
<1%
13°C
$37 Объем
<1%
14°C
$0 Объем
2%
15°C
$195 Объем
2%
16°C
$48 Объем
4%
17°C
$253 Объем
9%
18°C
$461 Объем
45%
19°C
$214 Объем
35%
20°C
$49 Объем
7%
21°C
$15 Объем
2%
22°C или выше
$72 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like the GFS and ECMWF points to a cooler-than-average day in Amsterdam on September 9, with showers and northwest winds limiting daytime heating to support the market's tight clustering around 18°C (45.0% implied probability) over 19°C (35.5%). Persistent cloud cover, precipitation chances near 45-70%, and a shift from southerly to westerly flow are suppressing maximum temperatures below the early-September climatological normal of roughly 19-20°C. Ensemble spreads in timing and intensity of showers introduce the main uncertainty between these two leading outcomes, while lower probabilities for 17°C or 20°C reflect tail risks from forecast revisions ahead of final NHC-style updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Объем
$1,458Дата окончания
9 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like the GFS and ECMWF points to a cooler-than-average day in Amsterdam on September 9, with showers and northwest winds limiting daytime heating to support the market's tight clustering around 18°C (45.0% implied probability) over 19°C (35.5%). Persistent cloud cover, precipitation chances near 45-70%, and a shift from southerly to westerly flow are suppressing maximum temperatures below the early-September climatological normal of roughly 19-20°C. Ensemble spreads in timing and intensity of showers introduce the main uncertainty between these two leading outcomes, while lower probabilities for 17°C or 20°C reflect tail risks from forecast revisions ahead of final NHC-style updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,458Дата окончания
9 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources like the GFS and ECMWF points to a cooler-than-average day in Amsterdam on September 9, with showers and northwest winds limiting daytime heating to support the market's tight clustering around 18°C (45.0% implied probability) over 19°C (35.5%). Persistent cloud cover, precipitation chances near 45-70%, and a shift from southerly to westerly flow are suppressing maximum temperatures below the early-September climatological normal of roughly 19-20°C. Ensemble spreads in timing and intensity of showers introduce the main uncertainty between these two leading outcomes, while lower probabilities for 17°C or 20°C reflect tail risks from forecast revisions ahead of final NHC-style updates.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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