Recent forecasts from models like those underlying Yr.no and national meteorological guidance indicate Mexico City will see mostly cloudy skies with widespread afternoon showers and thunderstorms on September 11, limiting solar insolation and capping afternoon temperatures near 21–23 °C. Persistent easterly moisture transport during the peak of the rainy season, combined with the city’s 2,240 m elevation and urban heat-island moderation, favors this range over the 25–26 °C thresholds that currently command roughly 85 % of market-implied probability. Recent drier spells earlier in the month allowed isolated readings above 25 °C, but updated guidance shows stronger convective activity and higher cloud cover tomorrow, increasing the chance that the official maximum stays at or below 24 °C. Traders appear to be weighting historical September variability and possible model spread more heavily than the latest precipitation-heavy runs.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Мехико 11 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Мехико 11 сентября?
26°C или выше 41%
25°C 38%
24°C 15%
23°C 6%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
11 сент. 2026 г.
16°C или ниже
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
6%
24°C
15%
25°C
38%
26°C или выше
41%
26°C или выше 41%
25°C 38%
24°C 15%
23°C 6%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
11 сент. 2026 г.
16°C или ниже
$266 Объем
<1%
17°C
$256 Объем
<1%
18°C
$256 Объем
<1%
19°C
$197 Объем
<1%
20°C
$36 Объем
<1%
21°C
$33 Объем
1%
22°C
$122 Объем
3%
23°C
$93 Объем
6%
24°C
$311 Объем
15%
25°C
$347 Объем
38%
26°C или выше
$1,101 Объем
41%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models like those underlying Yr.no and national meteorological guidance indicate Mexico City will see mostly cloudy skies with widespread afternoon showers and thunderstorms on September 11, limiting solar insolation and capping afternoon temperatures near 21–23 °C. Persistent easterly moisture transport during the peak of the rainy season, combined with the city’s 2,240 m elevation and urban heat-island moderation, favors this range over the 25–26 °C thresholds that currently command roughly 85 % of market-implied probability. Recent drier spells earlier in the month allowed isolated readings above 25 °C, but updated guidance shows stronger convective activity and higher cloud cover tomorrow, increasing the chance that the official maximum stays at or below 24 °C. Traders appear to be weighting historical September variability and possible model spread more heavily than the latest precipitation-heavy runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 9, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Объем
$3,019Дата окончания
11 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 9, 2026, 8:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models like those underlying Yr.no and national meteorological guidance indicate Mexico City will see mostly cloudy skies with widespread afternoon showers and thunderstorms on September 11, limiting solar insolation and capping afternoon temperatures near 21–23 °C. Persistent easterly moisture transport during the peak of the rainy season, combined with the city’s 2,240 m elevation and urban heat-island moderation, favors this range over the 25–26 °C thresholds that currently command roughly 85 % of market-implied probability. Recent drier spells earlier in the month allowed isolated readings above 25 °C, but updated guidance shows stronger convective activity and higher cloud cover tomorrow, increasing the chance that the official maximum stays at or below 24 °C. Traders appear to be weighting historical September variability and possible model spread more heavily than the latest precipitation-heavy runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$3,019Дата окончания
11 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 9, 2026, 8:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models like those underlying Yr.no and national meteorological guidance indicate Mexico City will see mostly cloudy skies with widespread afternoon showers and thunderstorms on September 11, limiting solar insolation and capping afternoon temperatures near 21–23 °C. Persistent easterly moisture transport during the peak of the rainy season, combined with the city’s 2,240 m elevation and urban heat-island moderation, favors this range over the 25–26 °C thresholds that currently command roughly 85 % of market-implied probability. Recent drier spells earlier in the month allowed isolated readings above 25 °C, but updated guidance shows stronger convective activity and higher cloud cover tomorrow, increasing the chance that the official maximum stays at or below 24 °C. Traders appear to be weighting historical September variability and possible model spread more heavily than the latest precipitation-heavy runs.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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