**Persistent southerly winds and extensive cloud cover are limiting daytime heating across Cape Town on September 10, supporting the market's strong preference for a modest high near 19°C.** Official forecasts from sources including the Met Office, Yr, and regional models converge on an 18–19°C peak under overcast skies, with temperatures rising gradually from morning lows around 14–15°C before stabilizing amid breezy conditions of 15–25 km/h from the south. This aligns with typical early-spring maritime influence in the region, where cloud reduces solar insolation and prevents stronger warming seen earlier in the month. Trader consensus, reflected in the 50.5% implied probability for 19°C and 25.5% for 20°C, matches this model agreement, though exact resolution depends on the official daily maximum observation amid minor forecast spread. No precipitation or major shifts are expected before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Кейптауне 10 сентября?
19°C 48%
20°C 28%
18°C 18%
21°C 6%
$36,212 Объем
$36,212 Объем
14°C или ниже
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
4%
18°C
18%
19°C
48%
20°C
28%
21°C
6%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C или выше
<1%
19°C 48%
20°C 28%
18°C 18%
21°C 6%
$36,212 Объем
$36,212 Объем
14°C или ниже
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
4%
18°C
18%
19°C
48%
20°C
28%
21°C
6%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 8, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent southerly winds and extensive cloud cover are limiting daytime heating across Cape Town on September 10, supporting the market's strong preference for a modest high near 19°C.** Official forecasts from sources including the Met Office, Yr, and regional models converge on an 18–19°C peak under overcast skies, with temperatures rising gradually from morning lows around 14–15°C before stabilizing amid breezy conditions of 15–25 km/h from the south. This aligns with typical early-spring maritime influence in the region, where cloud reduces solar insolation and prevents stronger warming seen earlier in the month. Trader consensus, reflected in the 50.5% implied probability for 19°C and 25.5% for 20°C, matches this model agreement, though exact resolution depends on the official daily maximum observation amid minor forecast spread. No precipitation or major shifts are expected before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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