Forecast models from sources including GFS data and local observations show Warsaw reaching a daily maximum near 20°C on September 10 under mostly cloudy skies with periods of rain and westerly winds of 10–20 km/h, which suppress daytime heating and align closely with the market’s 96.5% implied probability for that exact outcome. Recent surface analyses place morning temperatures in the mid-teens Celsius, with afternoon peaks limited by high humidity and cloud cover that reduce incoming solar radiation. A modest deviation to 21°C or higher would require unexpected clearing and stronger insolation, while cooler readings remain possible only if heavier precipitation arrives earlier than projected; official station data from the Polish Institute of Meteorology will determine final resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Варшаве 10 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Варшаве 10 сентября?
20°C 99.2%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
15°C или ниже <1%
$124,687 Объем
$124,687 Объем
10 сент. 2026 г.
15°C или ниже
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
99%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C или выше
<1%
20°C 99.2%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
15°C или ниже <1%
$124,687 Объем
$124,687 Объем
10 сент. 2026 г.
15°C или ниже
$4,355 Объем
<1%
16°C
$9,741 Объем
<1%
17°C
$19,694 Объем
<1%
18°C
$25,551 Объем
<1%
19°C
$44,278 Объем
<1%
20°C
$12,960 Объем
99%
21°C
$5,118 Объем
1%
22°C
$1,823 Объем
<1%
23°C
$595 Объем
<1%
24°C
$200 Объем
<1%
25°C или выше
$372 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including GFS data and local observations show Warsaw reaching a daily maximum near 20°C on September 10 under mostly cloudy skies with periods of rain and westerly winds of 10–20 km/h, which suppress daytime heating and align closely with the market’s 96.5% implied probability for that exact outcome. Recent surface analyses place morning temperatures in the mid-teens Celsius, with afternoon peaks limited by high humidity and cloud cover that reduce incoming solar radiation. A modest deviation to 21°C or higher would require unexpected clearing and stronger insolation, while cooler readings remain possible only if heavier precipitation arrives earlier than projected; official station data from the Polish Institute of Meteorology will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Объем
$124,687Дата окончания
10 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including GFS data and local observations show Warsaw reaching a daily maximum near 20°C on September 10 under mostly cloudy skies with periods of rain and westerly winds of 10–20 km/h, which suppress daytime heating and align closely with the market’s 96.5% implied probability for that exact outcome. Recent surface analyses place morning temperatures in the mid-teens Celsius, with afternoon peaks limited by high humidity and cloud cover that reduce incoming solar radiation. A modest deviation to 21°C or higher would require unexpected clearing and stronger insolation, while cooler readings remain possible only if heavier precipitation arrives earlier than projected; official station data from the Polish Institute of Meteorology will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$124,687Дата окончания
10 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including GFS data and local observations show Warsaw reaching a daily maximum near 20°C on September 10 under mostly cloudy skies with periods of rain and westerly winds of 10–20 km/h, which suppress daytime heating and align closely with the market’s 96.5% implied probability for that exact outcome. Recent surface analyses place morning temperatures in the mid-teens Celsius, with afternoon peaks limited by high humidity and cloud cover that reduce incoming solar radiation. A modest deviation to 21°C or higher would require unexpected clearing and stronger insolation, while cooler readings remain possible only if heavier precipitation arrives earlier than projected; official station data from the Polish Institute of Meteorology will determine final resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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