Forecast models from MetService and international agencies indicate a frontal passage over Wellington on September 10, with northerly flow shifting to strong southerlies midday, bringing cloud cover, showers, and limited daytime warming. This setup caps the maximum near 13–14 °C, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward those outcomes. Springtime El Niño influences add wind variability and modest temperature fluctuations around seasonal norms, while official guidance shows low likelihood of either warmer northerly dominance or sharper cold-air advection that would push extremes outside the narrow 12–15 °C band. Updated model runs overnight will refine the exact peak.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 10 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 10 сентября?
14°C 64%
13°C 25%
12°C 6%
15°C 4%
НОВОЕ
$14,893 Объем
НОВОЕ
$14,893 Объем
10 сент. 2026 г.
8°C или ниже
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
6%
13°C
25%
14°C
64%
15°C
4%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C или выше
<1%
14°C 64%
13°C 25%
12°C 6%
15°C 4%
НОВОЕ
$14,893 Объем
НОВОЕ
$14,893 Объем
10 сент. 2026 г.
8°C или ниже
$1,106 Объем
<1%
9°C
$1,064 Объем
<1%
10°C
$1,292 Объем
<1%
11°C
$2,041 Объем
<1%
12°C
$2,875 Объем
6%
13°C
$1,984 Объем
25%
14°C
$2,032 Объем
64%
15°C
$1,043 Объем
4%
16°C
$726 Объем
1%
17°C
$361 Объем
<1%
18°C или выше
$369 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from MetService and international agencies indicate a frontal passage over Wellington on September 10, with northerly flow shifting to strong southerlies midday, bringing cloud cover, showers, and limited daytime warming. This setup caps the maximum near 13–14 °C, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward those outcomes. Springtime El Niño influences add wind variability and modest temperature fluctuations around seasonal norms, while official guidance shows low likelihood of either warmer northerly dominance or sharper cold-air advection that would push extremes outside the narrow 12–15 °C band. Updated model runs overnight will refine the exact peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Объем
$14,893Дата окончания
10 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from MetService and international agencies indicate a frontal passage over Wellington on September 10, with northerly flow shifting to strong southerlies midday, bringing cloud cover, showers, and limited daytime warming. This setup caps the maximum near 13–14 °C, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward those outcomes. Springtime El Niño influences add wind variability and modest temperature fluctuations around seasonal norms, while official guidance shows low likelihood of either warmer northerly dominance or sharper cold-air advection that would push extremes outside the narrow 12–15 °C band. Updated model runs overnight will refine the exact peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$14,893Дата окончания
10 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from MetService and international agencies indicate a frontal passage over Wellington on September 10, with northerly flow shifting to strong southerlies midday, bringing cloud cover, showers, and limited daytime warming. This setup caps the maximum near 13–14 °C, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward those outcomes. Springtime El Niño influences add wind variability and modest temperature fluctuations around seasonal norms, while official guidance shows low likelihood of either warmer northerly dominance or sharper cold-air advection that would push extremes outside the narrow 12–15 °C band. Updated model runs overnight will refine the exact peak.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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