**Latest meteorological forecasts position a daily high near 14–15 °C as the most probable outcome for Wellington on September 11, aligning with the market’s 62.5 % implied probability for 15 °C.** Northwesterly winds and mostly sunny conditions are expected to support modest daytime warming in early spring, when climatological highs average around 14 °C. Official guidance from sources such as WeatherBug and MetService indicates a peak close to 13–14 °C (roughly 56–57 °F), with limited cloud cover and no significant frontal systems to suppress temperatures. Model consensus remains tight, though small shifts in wind direction or timing of any clearing could nudge the observed maximum by 1 °C either way. Traders appear to weight the upper end of this narrow range more heavily, consistent with historical variability around the seasonal mean and the resolution criteria tied to official station readings.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 11 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 11 сентября?
15°C 69%
14°C 25%
16°C 7%
13°C 2%
НОВОЕ
$19,404 Объем
НОВОЕ
$19,404 Объем
11 сент. 2026 г.
9°C или ниже
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
2%
14°C
25%
15°C
69%
16°C
7%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C или выше
<1%
15°C 69%
14°C 25%
16°C 7%
13°C 2%
НОВОЕ
$19,404 Объем
НОВОЕ
$19,404 Объем
11 сент. 2026 г.
9°C или ниже
$944 Объем
<1%
10°C
$176 Объем
<1%
11°C
$284 Объем
<1%
12°C
$1,572 Объем
<1%
13°C
$2,706 Объем
2%
14°C
$3,060 Объем
25%
15°C
$5,796 Объем
69%
16°C
$2,861 Объем
7%
17°C
$792 Объем
<1%
18°C
$742 Объем
<1%
19°C или выше
$471 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest meteorological forecasts position a daily high near 14–15 °C as the most probable outcome for Wellington on September 11, aligning with the market’s 62.5 % implied probability for 15 °C.**
Northwesterly winds and mostly sunny conditions are expected to support modest daytime warming in early spring, when climatological highs average around 14 °C. Official guidance from sources such as WeatherBug and MetService indicates a peak close to 13–14 °C (roughly 56–57 °F), with limited cloud cover and no significant frontal systems to suppress temperatures. Model consensus remains tight, though small shifts in wind direction or timing of any clearing could nudge the observed maximum by 1 °C either way. Traders appear to weight the upper end of this narrow range more heavily, consistent with historical variability around the seasonal mean and the resolution criteria tied to official station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Объем
$19,404Дата окончания
11 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest meteorological forecasts position a daily high near 14–15 °C as the most probable outcome for Wellington on September 11, aligning with the market’s 62.5 % implied probability for 15 °C.**
Northwesterly winds and mostly sunny conditions are expected to support modest daytime warming in early spring, when climatological highs average around 14 °C. Official guidance from sources such as WeatherBug and MetService indicates a peak close to 13–14 °C (roughly 56–57 °F), with limited cloud cover and no significant frontal systems to suppress temperatures. Model consensus remains tight, though small shifts in wind direction or timing of any clearing could nudge the observed maximum by 1 °C either way. Traders appear to weight the upper end of this narrow range more heavily, consistent with historical variability around the seasonal mean and the resolution criteria tied to official station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$19,404Дата окончания
11 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Latest meteorological forecasts position a daily high near 14–15 °C as the most probable outcome for Wellington on September 11, aligning with the market’s 62.5 % implied probability for 15 °C.** Northwesterly winds and mostly sunny conditions are expected to support modest daytime warming in early spring, when climatological highs average around 14 °C. Official guidance from sources such as WeatherBug and MetService indicates a peak close to 13–14 °C (roughly 56–57 °F), with limited cloud cover and no significant frontal systems to suppress temperatures. Model consensus remains tight, though small shifts in wind direction or timing of any clearing could nudge the observed maximum by 1 °C either way. Traders appear to weight the upper end of this narrow range more heavily, consistent with historical variability around the seasonal mean and the resolution criteria tied to official station readings.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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