Southeast winds advecting a cooler maritime air mass drove the primary uncertainty in Buenos Aires minimum temperatures for September 11, with National Meteorological Service forecasts centering on an 11°C low amid mostly cloudy skies and gusts to 50 km/h. Actual station data recorded a minimum of 12.7°C, above the 9–8°C range favored by traders at 51% and 46% implied probability. Model spread in boundary-layer mixing and local urban heat retention created the tight clustering around these thresholds, as modest forecast revisions of 1–2°C can shift resolution between adjacent bins. Historical September averages near 11–12°C provided limited guidance given the recent cold outbreak earlier in the month. Updated observational verification from official networks is expected to finalize market settlement shortly.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Буэнос-Айресе 11 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Буэнос-Айресе 11 сентября?
9°C 85%
7°C или ниже 20%
8°C 20%
10°C <1%
$666 Объем
$666 Объем
11 сент. 2026 г.
7°C или ниже
Нет
8°C
Нет
9°C
Да
10°C
Нет
11°C
Нет
12°C
Нет
13°C
Нет
14°C
Нет
15°C
Нет
16°C
Нет
17°C или выше
Нет
9°C 85%
7°C или ниже 20%
8°C 20%
10°C <1%
$666 Объем
$666 Объем
11 сент. 2026 г.
7°C или ниже
$20 Объем
Нет
8°C
$32 Объем
Нет
9°C
$200 Объем
Да
10°C
$96 Объем
Нет
11°C
$165 Объем
Нет
12°C
$128 Объем
Нет
13°C
$5 Объем
Нет
14°C
$5 Объем
Нет
15°C
$5 Объем
Нет
16°C
$5 Объем
Нет
17°C или выше
$5 Объем
Нет
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Southeast winds advecting a cooler maritime air mass drove the primary uncertainty in Buenos Aires minimum temperatures for September 11, with National Meteorological Service forecasts centering on an 11°C low amid mostly cloudy skies and gusts to 50 km/h. Actual station data recorded a minimum of 12.7°C, above the 9–8°C range favored by traders at 51% and 46% implied probability. Model spread in boundary-layer mixing and local urban heat retention created the tight clustering around these thresholds, as modest forecast revisions of 1–2°C can shift resolution between adjacent bins. Historical September averages near 11–12°C provided limited guidance given the recent cold outbreak earlier in the month. Updated observational verification from official networks is expected to finalize market settlement shortly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 9, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Объем
$666Дата окончания
11 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 9, 2026, 8:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Southeast winds advecting a cooler maritime air mass drove the primary uncertainty in Buenos Aires minimum temperatures for September 11, with National Meteorological Service forecasts centering on an 11°C low amid mostly cloudy skies and gusts to 50 km/h. Actual station data recorded a minimum of 12.7°C, above the 9–8°C range favored by traders at 51% and 46% implied probability. Model spread in boundary-layer mixing and local urban heat retention created the tight clustering around these thresholds, as modest forecast revisions of 1–2°C can shift resolution between adjacent bins. Historical September averages near 11–12°C provided limited guidance given the recent cold outbreak earlier in the month. Updated observational verification from official networks is expected to finalize market settlement shortly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$666Дата окончания
11 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 9, 2026, 8:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
Southeast winds advecting a cooler maritime air mass drove the primary uncertainty in Buenos Aires minimum temperatures for September 11, with National Meteorological Service forecasts centering on an 11°C low amid mostly cloudy skies and gusts to 50 km/h. Actual station data recorded a minimum of 12.7°C, above the 9–8°C range favored by traders at 51% and 46% implied probability. Model spread in boundary-layer mixing and local urban heat retention created the tight clustering around these thresholds, as modest forecast revisions of 1–2°C can shift resolution between adjacent bins. Historical September averages near 11–12°C provided limited guidance given the recent cold outbreak earlier in the month. Updated observational verification from official networks is expected to finalize market settlement shortly.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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